The Jimmy Butler Show: Can the Heat Finish off the Knicks in Game 5?

In this betting preview, I’ll be discussing my picks & predictions for Game 5 of Heat vs Knicks. Will Jimmy Butler & the Miami Heat be able to finish off the series at Madison Square Garden?

Battling through injuries, the Heat are just one win away from making the Eastern Conference Finals for a 2nd year in a row. It’s pretty incredible…

Heat vs Knicks Betting Odds: Moneyline, Point Spread, Total

Game 5 is set to tip off at 7:30 pm ET. The Knicks are currently -3.5 point spread favorites, and the total is set at an over/under of 209.5.

The OddsJam sports betting software has real-time NBA odds from roughly 200 bookmakers. It’s 100% free to browse odds (e.g. line shop) on OddsJam.

As seen in the screenshot above, the Miami Heat are best offered at +150 moneyline odds on two sportsbooks: Kutt & Betfair. The New York Knicks are best offered at -159 moneyline odds.

Thus, the sports betting market is pricing roughly a 40% win probability for the Miami Heat: +150 odds means a 1.5 to 1 underdog (e.g. 1/2.5 or 40% to win). You can use an odds converter calculator to convert sportsbook odds to win probability.

Heat vs Knicks Game 5: Best Bets, Picks & Predictions

My first NBA bet for Heat vs Knicks is a point spread wager. I’m on the Heat +6 alternate spread at -140 odds on Fliff sportsbook. I found this sharp NBA pick on the OddsJam Positive EV Tool (bet in green/bold = profitable).

As sharp bettors, we’re always looking for value (e.g. an “edge”) in the market. That’s how you actually make money sports betting – you find value. Unfortunately, there’s no “golden ticket” for making $1,000,000 overnight… Profitable betting strategy is all about finding an edge and placing a lot of bets.

Just like day traders/investors, we’re hunting for “underpriced assets” as sharp sports bettors. Since sportsbooks all set lines independently (e.g. each book has different odds), we’re looking for inefficiencies in the market.

As seen in the screenshot below from OddsJam Positive EV, Fliff is the only sportsbook offering the Heat +6 point spread at -140 odds. In fact, no other sportsbook is offering better than -154 odds on this NBA bet… We’re getting clear value on Fliff at -140. The average price on the Heat +6 point spread is -157 odds.

Value, value, value – it’s all that matters if you want to make money sports betting!

Fliff is an 18+ sportsbook that is available in nearly all U.S. states. This platform has grown very quickly in terms of popularity, and I’ve been able to find a myriad of profitable NBA bets on Fliff.

I locked in this NBA bet on Fliff for $100. I’m staking $100 to win a total payout of $171.42 if the Heat lose the game by less than 6 points. If the Miami Heat lose by exactly 6 points, then my NBA bet will push.