NBA Value Plays 5/17/24

In today’s NBA DFS slate, finding value plays is crucial for building a balanced and competitive lineup. Here are the top five value plays for today’s game between the New York Knicks and the Indiana Pacers.

These players offer great potential at lower price points, allowing you to maximize your budget for higher-priced stars.

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New York Knicks @ Indiana Pacers

• Vegas Info: Indiana Pacers -6.0, Game Total: 215.0
• Road Team Total: 104.5
• Home Team Total: 110.5
• Time: 8:30 PM ET

Top 5 DFS VALUE Plays

1. Miles McBride (PG/SG – NYK)

• Salary: $4,300 on DraftKings, $4,500 on FanDuel
• Key Stats:
  • Minutes Per Game: 19.5
  • Fantasy Points Per Game: 14.9
  • Usage Rate: 16%
  • Points Per Game: 8.3
  • Assists Per Game: 1.7
  • Rebounds Per Game: 2.9

Why He’s a Top Value Play:

• Increased Role: With OG Anunoby out, McBride has stepped up, playing significant minutes and contributing more offensively.
• Recent Performance: McBride has averaged over 30 fantasy points in his last two games, showcasing his ability to exceed value at his price.
• Matchup: The Pacers’ fast-paced game provides more opportunities for McBride to score and accumulate stats.

2. Andrew Nembhard (PG/SG – IND)

• Salary: $4,500 on DraftKings, $4,800 on FanDuel
• Key Stats:
  • Minutes Per Game: 25.0
  • Fantasy Points Per Game: 19.7
  • Usage Rate: 16%
  • Points Per Game: 9.2
  • Assists Per Game: 4.1
  • Rebounds Per Game: 2.3

Why He’s a Top Value Play:

• Consistent Contributor: Nembhard has been reliable in his role, providing steady production across points, assists, and rebounds.
• High Ceiling: His ability to fill up the stat sheet makes him a great value play, especially in a game with a high implied total.
• Increased Opportunities: In a must-win game, expect Nembhard to play heavy minutes and be more involved in the offense.

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3. Donte DiVincenzo (SG/SF – NYK)

• Salary: $7,300 on DraftKings, $7,900 on FanDuel
• Key Stats:
  • Minutes Per Game: 29.1
  • Fantasy Points Per Game: 28.6
  • Usage Rate: 21%
  • Points Per Game: 15.5
  • Rebounds Per Game: 3.9
  • Assists Per Game: 2.7

Why He’s a Top Value Play:

• Versatile Player: DiVincenzo’s ability to contribute in multiple categories makes him a valuable DFS asset.
• Recent Surge: Averaging 28.6 fantasy points per game, DiVincenzo has been on a roll, providing excellent value for his salary.
• Matchup: The Pacers’ defense struggles against wing players, making DiVincenzo a prime candidate for a big game.

4. Aaron Nesmith (SG/SF – IND)

• Salary: $4,800 on DraftKings, $4,800 on FanDuel
• Key Stats:
  • Minutes Per Game: 27.7
  • Fantasy Points Per Game: 22.9
  • Usage Rate: 16%
  • Points Per Game: 12.2
  • Rebounds Per Game: 2.3
  • Assists Per Game: 1.5

Why He’s a Top Value Play:

• Scoring Potential: Nesmith is a streaky shooter who can catch fire, providing significant scoring upside.
• Stable Minutes: Consistently playing around 28 minutes, Nesmith has a secure role in the Pacers’ rotation.
• Pace Advantage: The fast pace of the game will benefit Nesmith’s scoring opportunities and overall fantasy production.

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5. Isaiah Hartenstein (C – NYK)

• Salary: $6,200 on DraftKings, $6,500 on FanDuel
• Key Stats:
  • Minutes Per Game: 25.3
  • Fantasy Points Per Game: 26.1
  • Usage Rate: 12%
  • Points Per Game: 7.8
  • Rebounds Per Game: 8.3
  • Assists Per Game: 2.5

Why He’s a Top Value Play:

• High Rebounding Rate: Hartenstein excels on the boards, giving him a solid floor for fantasy points.
• Increased Role: With Robinson and Randle out, Hartenstein has stepped into a larger role, providing more opportunities for fantasy production.
• Efficient Scorer: Despite limited shot attempts, Hartenstein is an efficient scorer, contributing across multiple categories.

Key Matchup Insights

• Pace of Play: The Pacers’ fast-paced style offers more possessions and scoring opportunities, benefiting value plays.
• Injury Impact: Key injuries on the Knicks have opened up more minutes and usage for players like McBride and Hartenstein.
• Defensive Weaknesses: Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities that can be exploited by these value plays, particularly in transition and three-point shooting.

Bullet Points

• Miles McBride: Increased role, recent performance, favorable matchup.
• Andrew Nembhard: Consistent production, high ceiling, more opportunities in must-win game.
• Donte DiVincenzo: Versatile contributor, recent surge, favorable defensive matchup.
• Aaron Nesmith: Scoring potential, stable minutes, pace advantage.
• Isaiah Hartenstein: High rebounding rate, increased role, efficient scorer.

By targeting these top value plays, you can build a balanced and competitive DFS lineup that leverages lower-cost players with high upside. Keep these insights in mind as you finalize your picks for today’s slate. Good luck!