MLB Top Pitchers 6/21/24

oday’s MLB DFS slate offers several intriguing pitching options. Let’s break down the top pitchers and a few under-the-radar plays, delving into the statistics and matchups that make them great choices for your DFS lineup.

Top MLB DFS Pitchers

1. Chris Sale (L) – Braves vs Yankees

Insights:

• Matchup: Sale faces the Yankees, a team that has struggled against left-handed pitching.
• Stats: Sale has a 31.0% strikeout rate and a low 4.3% walk rate against left-handed hitters. His .284 xwOBA and .146 ISO indicate he limits both power and on-base opportunities.
• Reasoning: Sale’s ability to miss bats and limit walks makes him a top option today. The Yankees lineup, with a 26.6% strikeout rate against lefties, offers ample strikeout upside for Sale.

2. George Kirby (R) – Mariners vs Marlins

Insights:

• Matchup: Kirby will face the Marlins, a team with notable strikeout issues against right-handed pitching.
• Stats: Kirby boasts a 24.7% strikeout rate and an impressive 3.3% walk rate against left-handed hitters, paired with a .299 xwOBA.
• Reasoning: Kirby’s elite control and ability to generate swings and misses make him a strong play. The Marlins’ high strikeout rate and lower power numbers against righties make this a favorable matchup.

3. Carlos Rodon (L) – Yankees vs Braves

Insights:

• Matchup: Rodon faces the Braves, a powerful lineup but one that can be vulnerable to high-strikeout pitchers.
• Stats: Rodon has a 26.9% strikeout rate against lefties and a .319 xwOBA, indicating his ability to limit damage.
• Reasoning: Rodon’s strikeout potential is high, and while the Braves are a formidable offense, Rodon’s stuff can neutralize even the best hitters. His ability to limit extra-base hits (.189 ISO against lefties) is crucial in this matchup.

Under-the-Radar Plays

1. Chris Paddack (R) – Twins vs Athletics

Insights:

• Matchup: Paddack faces the Athletics, one of the weaker offenses in the league.
• Stats: Paddack has a 24.9% strikeout rate and a .310 xwOBA against right-handed hitters. His ability to limit walks (4.6%) is also a plus.
• Reasoning: The Athletics’ lineup struggles to produce runs and strikes out at a high clip. Paddack’s control and strikeout ability make him a valuable under-the-radar option.

2. Trevor Rogers (L) – Marlins vs Mariners

Insights:

• Matchup: Rogers will pitch against the Mariners, a team with significant strikeout tendencies against left-handed pitching.
• Stats: Rogers has a 21.1% strikeout rate against lefties and a .310 xwOBA, showing he can handle left-handed hitters well.
• Reasoning: Rogers’ matchup against a strikeout-prone Mariners lineup provides upside. His ability to limit power and get swings and misses makes him a strong contrarian play.

Conclusion

Today’s slate offers a mix of top-tier and under-the-radar pitching options that can help you succeed in your DFS contests. Chris Sale, George Kirby, and Carlos Rodon provide strong foundations with their strikeout potential and favorable matchups. Meanwhile, Chris Paddack and Trevor Rogers offer valuable upside at potentially lower ownership. Trust the stats, consider the matchups, and let’s dominate today’s DFS slate!