MLB Best Bets Friday 9/13/24

Hey baseball fans! We’ve got a full slate of MLB action today, and I’ve dug deep into the matchups to bring you the best bets for today’s games. Let’s break down each game, provide key insights, and highlight why each player and team is a top pick. Let’s dive right in!

1. Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers

Suggested Bet: Orioles to win at -146

Why the Orioles are a Best Bet:

• Pitching Advantage: Zack Eflin is on the mound for Baltimore. Despite a rough outing against Tampa Bay, he’s been solid this season with a 10-8 record and a 3.65 ERA.
• Tigers’ Uncertainty: Detroit hasn’t confirmed their starter, and if it’s a bullpen game, their 3.64 bullpen ERA might not hold up against the Orioles.
• Orioles’ Motivation: They’re two games back in the AL East and need this win to keep playoff hopes alive.

Key Insights:

• Baltimore’s offense has struggled recently but has the potential to bounce back.
• Detroit’s offense ranks 24th in batting average and 28th in on-base percentage.

2. Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

Suggested Bet: Phillies to win at -150

Why the Phillies are a Best Bet:

• Aaron Nola‘s Dominance: Nola is looking to bounce back after a tough game against the Marlins. He threw a complete game shutout against the Mets earlier this season.
• Home Field Advantage: Phillies boast a 50-24 record at home, the best in MLB.
• Mets’ Offensive Struggles: The Mets haven’t been swinging hot bats, scoring only 2 runs in their last outing.

Key Insights:

• Phillies’ bullpen has improved, currently with a 3.85 ERA.
• Mets’ Jose Quintana has had issues against Philadelphia in the past.

3. New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Suggested Bet: Yankees to win at -145

Why the Yankees are a Best Bet:

• Clark Schmidt on the Mound: He’s been reliable, posting a 2.34 ERA and coming off a strong performance against the Cubs.
• Injury Concerns for Boston: Tanner Houck is potentially banged up, and his last outing against the Yankees wasn’t impressive.
• Yankees’ Offense Ready to Explode: Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are due for big games.

Key Insights:

• Yankees’ bullpen ranks 10th with a 3.77 ERA.
• Boston’s bullpen struggles with a 4.58 ERA, which could be exploited late in the game.

4. Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves

Suggested Bet: Under 8.5 Runs

Why the Under is a Best Bet:

• Pitcher’s Duel Potential: Landon Knack has been solid for the Dodgers, and Spencer Schwellenbach is looking to rebound for the Braves.
• Trends Favor the Under: Atlanta is 48-28-1 to the under at home.
• Offensive Inconsistencies: Both teams have had recent offensive slumps despite their firepower.

Key Insights:

• Dodgers’ bullpen is strong, ranked fifth with a 3.58 ERA.
• Braves’ bullpen is even better, third in MLB with a 3.17 ERA.

5. Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox

Suggested Bet: Athletics to win at -114

Why the Athletics are a Best Bet:

• Pitching Edge: Brady Basso impressed in his last start, and the A’s bullpen has been reliable.
• White Sox’s Struggles: Garrett Crochet has been inconsistent and may not last long in the game.
• Chicago’s Offensive Woes: They’re last in runs scored, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

Key Insights:

• Athletics have momentum after winning two out of three against Houston.
• White Sox have the worst home record in MLB at 18-57.

6. San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

Suggested Bet: Over 6.5 Runs

Why the Over is a Best Bet:

• Recent High-Scoring Games: Both teams have had games exceeding this total recently.
• Pitchers’ Recent Performances: Dylan Cease and Logan Webb have been hittable in their last outings.
• Offensive Potential: Padres have a strong lineup capable of putting up runs quickly.

Key Insights:

• Giants’ bullpen has a 3.98 ERA, which could lead to late-game runs.
• Padres are first in batting average and sixth in runs scored.

Final Thoughts

There you have it—today’s best MLB bets with key insights into each matchup. Whether you’re looking to back a strong pitcher, capitalize on offensive trends, or exploit a favorable line, these picks offer solid value.

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Best of luck on all your bets today! Let’s enjoy some great baseball and, hopefully, some winning tickets.