MLB Top Hitters 6/21/24

Today’s MLB DFS slate is packed with potential, and we’re here to break down the top hitters you should be targeting. We’ll highlight the three best DFS hitters and also delve into two under-the-radar plays that can give you an edge. Let’s dive into the matchups, stats, and insights that make these players top picks for today.

Top DFS Hitters

1. Ozzie Albies (S) – Braves vs Carlos Rodon (L)

Insights:

• Matchup: Albies faces Carlos Rodon, a lefty who has a .319 xwOBA against right-handed hitters.
• Stats: Albies boasts a .202 ISO and a .361 xwOBA against left-handed pitchers. His low strikeout rate (12.9%) against lefties indicates he makes consistent contact, which is key in DFS.
• Reasoning: Albies’ power and ability to get on base make him a prime target against Rodon. The Braves’ offense is potent, and Albies will likely be in the middle of any big innings.

2. Rafael Devers (L) – Red Sox vs Andrew Abbott (L)

Insights:

• Matchup: Devers is up against Andrew Abbott, who has a .313 xwOBA against right-handed hitters.
• Stats: Devers has a solid .200 ISO and a .325 xwOBA, indicating his ability to hit for power and get on base against lefties.
• Reasoning: Even as a lefty, Devers has proven he can handle left-handed pitching. His power potential makes him a strong play, especially in a favorable hitting environment like Great American Ball Park.

3. CJ Abrams (L) – Nationals vs Dakota Hudson (R)

Insights:

• Matchup: Abrams will face Dakota Hudson, who has a .375 xwOBA against left-handed hitters.
• Stats: Abrams showcases a .196 ISO and a .329 xwOBA against right-handed pitchers. His ability to hit for power and his speed on the bases make him a versatile threat.
• Reasoning: Abrams’ matchup against a struggling Hudson is ideal. Hudson’s inability to strike out hitters (12.0% K rate) means more balls in play, which favors a hitter like Abrams who can exploit weak pitching.

Under-the-Radar Plays

1. Vinnie Pasquantino (L) – Royals vs Nathan Eovaldi (R)

Insights:

• Matchup: Pasquantino faces Nathan Eovaldi, who allows a .323 xwOBA to right-handed hitters.
• Stats: Pasquantino has a .204 ISO and a .366 xwOBA, showing his ability to hit for both power and average against righties.
• Reasoning: As a lesser-known player, Pasquantino provides great value. Eovaldi’s struggles against left-handed hitters make this an exploitable matchup, and Pasquantino’s consistent production can give you an edge.

2. Gunnar Henderson (L) – Orioles vs Jake Bloss (R)

Insights:

• Matchup: Henderson goes up against Jake Bloss, an unproven right-handed pitcher.
• Stats: Henderson sports a .295 ISO and a .387 xwOBA against right-handers, indicating elite power and on-base ability.
• Reasoning: Henderson’s matchup against a rookie pitcher is highly favorable. His power and patience at the plate make him a sneaky good play, especially if you’re looking to differentiate your lineup.

Conclusion

Today’s slate offers a mix of top-tier hitters and under-the-radar gems that can help you dominate your DFS contests. Targeting hitters like Ozzie Albies, Rafael Devers, and CJ Abrams provides a strong foundation, while taking a chance on players like Vinnie Pasquantino and Gunnar Henderson can give you the edge you need. Dive into the stats, trust the matchups, and let’s make today a winning day!