MLB Preview Tuesday 6/25/24

Today’s MLB DFS slate is packed with exciting matchups and intriguing pitching duels. In this preview, we’ll dive into each game, focusing on the pitching matchups and overall game dynamics. This will help you get a comprehensive understanding of the slate before we dig into the top hitters and stacks later today.

Pirates @ Reds – 7:10pm ET – Great American Ball Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Pirates: Mitch Keller (R) – 146.1 IP, 27.0% K%, 7.5% BB%, .318 xwOBA
• Reds: Hunter Greene (R) – 104.1 IP, 32.2% K%, 10.5% BB%, .269 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• Mitch Keller has shown strong strikeout ability, especially against left-handed batters, which could be crucial against a Reds lineup with several lefties.
• Hunter Greene boasts an impressive strikeout rate, but his high walk rate can lead to trouble. The Pirates will need to capitalize on any free passes he allows.

Blue Jays @ Red Sox – 7:10pm ET – Fenway Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman (R) – 120.0 IP, 26.9% K%, 7.5% BB%, .338 xwOBA
• Red Sox: Brayan Bello (R) – 106.0 IP, 15.3% K%, 7.8% BB%, .332 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• Kevin Gausman has been solid, especially against right-handed hitters, which is critical given the power righties in the Red Sox lineup.
• Brayan Bello doesn’t miss many bats but has managed to limit hard contact. However, he’ll be facing a tough Blue Jays lineup that can punish mistakes.

Yankees @ Mets – 7:10pm ET – Citi Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Yankees: Gerrit Cole (R) – 100.0 IP, 27.5% K%, 6.8% BB%, .287 xwOBA
• Mets: David Peterson (L) – 32.1 IP, 28.4% K%, 6.4% BB%, .329 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• Gerrit Cole continues to dominate with high strikeout rates and low walks. His matchup against a Mets lineup with some strikeout-prone hitters looks favorable.
• David Peterson has shown the ability to strike out batters, but right-handed power bats in the Yankees lineup, like Aaron Judge, could pose a significant threat.

Braves @ Cardinals – 7:45pm ET – Busch Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Braves: Reynaldo Lopez (R) – 68.2 IP, 26.2% K%, 14.8% BB%, .322 xwOBA
• Cardinals: Kyle Gibson (R) – 135.2 IP, 18.8% K%, 7.7% BB%, .348 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• Reynaldo Lopez has a high strikeout rate but struggles with walks. Control will be key against a disciplined Cardinals lineup.
• Kyle Gibson doesn’t strike out many batters and gives up a lot of hard contact. The Braves’ potent offense could take advantage of this.

Rockies @ Astros – 8:10pm ET – Minute Maid Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Rockies: Austin Gomber (L) – 43.2 IP, 13.7% K%, 5.8% BB%, .398 xwOBA
• Astros: Hunter Brown (R) – 114.0 IP, 27.3% K%, 9.5% BB%, .317 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• Austin Gomber has struggled mightily this season, especially against right-handed hitters. The Astros’ right-handed power bats will be looking to capitalize.
• Hunter Brown has solid strikeout numbers but can be prone to walks. However, he faces a Rockies lineup that has struggled on the road.

Dodgers @ White Sox – 8:10pm ET – Guaranteed Rate Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Dodgers: Bobby Miller (R) – 72.1 IP, 25.8% K%, 9.0% BB%, .289 xwOBA
• White Sox: Chris Flexen (R) – 75.0 IP, 19.8% K%, 8.0% BB%, .334 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• Bobby Miller has been impressive with his ability to limit hard contact. He’ll look to continue his strong performance against a White Sox lineup that has struggled against right-handers.
• Chris Flexen has been hit hard by both lefties and righties. The Dodgers’ balanced lineup could have a big day.

Marlins @ Royals – 8:10pm ET – Kauffman Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Marlins: Yonny Chirinos (R) – 44.2 IP, 13.8% K%, 6.6% BB%, .378 xwOBA
• Royals: Seth Lugo (R) – 125.0 IP, 23.5% K%, 6.7% BB%, .327 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• Yonny Chirinos has struggled to miss bats and limit hard contact. The Royals’ lineup, although not the most powerful, could take advantage.
• Seth Lugo has been effective at limiting damage and generating strikeouts. The Marlins will need to be patient and look for mistakes.

Rangers @ Brewers – 8:10pm ET – American Family Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Rangers: Andrew Heaney (L) – 38.0 IP, 19.7% K%, 15.3% BB%, .342 xwOBA
• Brewers: Bryse Wilson (R) – 56.0 IP, 22.0% K%, 12.2% BB%, .370 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• Andrew Heaney has struggled with control, and his high walk rate could lead to trouble against a disciplined Brewers lineup.
• Bryse Wilson has a high strikeout rate but is also prone to giving up hard contact. The Rangers’ lineup, featuring several powerful lefties, could capitalize on this.

Athletics @ Angels – 9:38pm ET – Angel Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Athletics: Mitch Spence (R) – 26.0 IP, 24.1% K%, 5.6% BB%, .299 xwOBA
• Angels: Tyler Anderson (L) – 55.0 IP, 18.1% K%, 12.8% BB%, .355 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• Mitch Spence has shown decent strikeout ability but faces an Angels lineup with several dangerous hitters.
• Tyler Anderson has struggled with walks and hard contact. The Athletics, although not a high-powered offense, have some right-handed bats that could cause problems.

Nationals @ Padres – 9:40pm ET – Petco Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Nationals: MacKenzie Gore (L) – 44.2 IP, 27.3% K%, 12.0% BB%, .361 xwOBA
• Padres: Adam Mazur (R) – 7.0 IP, 6.8% K%, 27.3% BB%, .428 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• MacKenzie Gore has excellent strikeout ability but struggles with control. The Padres’ disciplined approach at the plate could exploit this.
• Adam Mazur has a very limited sample size and has struggled with control. The Nationals will need to be patient and look for mistakes.

Twins @ Diamondbacks – 9:40pm ET – Chase Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Twins: Joe Ryan (R) – 121.2 IP, 25.5% K%, 5.5% BB%, .271 xwOBA
• Diamondbacks: Brandon Pfaadt (R) – 87.0 IP, 19.4% K%, 7.3% BB%, .330 xwOBA

Key Insights:

• Joe Ryan has been impressive with his ability to limit walks and generate strikeouts. He faces a Diamondbacks lineup with several strikeout-prone hitters.
• Brandon Pfaadt has struggled with both lefties and righties. The Twins’ lineup, featuring several powerful hitters, could have a productive day.

Cubs @ Giants – 9:45pm ET – Oracle Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Cubs: Kyle Hendricks (R) – 100.2 IP, 17.5% K%, 5.5% BB%, .321 xwOBA
• Giants: Carson Whisenhunt (L) – No MLB stats available

Key Insights:

• Kyle Hendricks is known for his control but doesn’t generate many strikeouts. The Giants’ lineup, featuring several patient hitters, could make him work.
• Carson Whisenhunt is an unknown at the MLB level, making this a high-variance game. The Cubs’ lineup will need to adapt quickly to capitalize on any mistakes.

This comprehensive preview provides a detailed look at each game on today’s slate. Stay tuned for our breakdown of the top hitters and stacks later today.