$2,100 Payout: Three Sharp Player Prop Picks for Today on Sunday, June 11

I have three player prop picks for today. All of my player props are on Underdog Fantasy, a new sports gambling platform. I’ve been able to find a lot of profitable plays on Underdog, so I definitely recommend signing up.

Underdog also offers a $100 deposit bonus when you register with promo code ODDSJAM. This bonus is pretty simple – deposit $100 & there will be $200 total in your account. Take the free money while it’s available…

Play #1: Nneka Ogwumike Over 19.5 Points in Lynx vs Sparks

My first player prop is in the WNBA. I’m on Nneka Ogwumike over 19.5 points, and I found this WNBA prop on the Odds Screen.

As seen in the screenshot above, all other sportsbooks have Nneka’s line set higher at 20.5 points. Underdog Fantasy is too low relative to every other data point (e.g. sportsbook posting odds), so we want to take the over.

It’s not glamorous, but this is how you make money sports betting. Be rational & follow the data… All sportsbooks set lines independently (e.g. each book has different odds/lines), so you want to find spots where sportsbooks are “slipping up.” Here, it’s clear that Underdog Fantasy has Nneka’s line too low.

Finding value & inefficiencies in the market is all I do to make money sports betting. I’m up over $32,000 in profit on Underdog Fantasy in 2023, as seen in my bet tracker above. As a big poker player & former Wall Street trader, sports betting isn’t particularly complicated once you learn to cut out the B.S. like “sports knowledge” – it’s all about the data.

Play #2: Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Bases in Diamondbacks vs Tigers

My next player prop for today is an MLB pick. I’m on Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Bases, and I found this MLB prop on the Fantasy Optimizer.

As seen explained in the DFS strategy guide, for Underdog Fantasy, you need to win above 54.95% of your player prop over/unders to be profitable long-term. If you want to make money on Underdog Fantasy, it’s all about increasing your win rate.

To be clear, if you can win 56% of your player props (only losing 44%), then you’ll make money on Underdog Fantasy. If you can only win 53% (losing 47%), then you’ll lose money on Underdog long-term.

As seen in the screenshot above, Corbin Carroll’s under 1.5 Bases is heavily favored on all sportsbooks. The average “price” on Carroll under 1.5 Bases is -152 odds.

According to the Underdog Fantasy Optimizer, Corbin Carroll’s under 1.5 Bases has a win rate of 56.86%, so it’s a profitable play. This win rate should make sense… All sportsbooks have Carroll’s under heavily favored (around -150 odds). Thus, every data point (e.g. sportsbook posting odds) is telling you that Carroll is a lot more likely to go under 1.5 Basess as opposed to over. Follow the data!

I have three player props total on Underdog Fantasy, and I’m staking $350 to win $2,100. My three picks are:

• Nneka Ogwumike Over 19.5 Points in Sparks vs Lynx
• A’ja Wilson Over 19.5 Points in Aces vs Sky
• Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Bases in Diamondbacks vs Tigets