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NHL Best Bets, Picks & Predictions – Expect Production in Stars vs Kraken

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

In this betting preview, I’ll be taking you through the best bets, picks & predictions for Stars vs Kraken. The puck is set to drop tonight at 9:30 pm EST.

After outlasting the Avs in a 7 game series, the Kraken took Game 1 against the Stars on Tuesday. It was a thrilling, high-scoring game – the Kraken won 5-4 in overtime. Joe Pavelski had four goals (yes…four) for the Stars, but it wasn’t enough to get the job done in Game 1.

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Seattle is an underdog once again in Game 2. As seen in the screenshot below, the Kraken are best offered at +185 moneyline odds (e.g. staking $100 to win $185 in profit). OddsJam has real-time NHL odds & betting lines from 190+ sportsbooks, including FanDuel, DraftKings, Caesars, PrizePicks and BetMGM.

Dallas is favored to win Game 2. They’re best offered at -189 moneyline odds.

NHL Odds

As a sharp bettor, it is critical that you always get the best possible odds. This is called line shopping in sports betting.

Line shopping is a pretty simple concept… Since sportsbooks set odds independently (e.g. each book has different odds), you always want to place your bet on the book offering the best ‘price’ (e.g. odds). Why on earth would you bet the Kraken moneyline at +158 odds on FanDuel when you can get +185 on other sportsbooks? It makes no sense. FanDuel is offering a horrible price on the Kraken at +158 odds.

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If you’re not line shopping, then you’re not going to make money sports betting. It’s that simple. Sports betting without line shopping is like being a day trader who has to pay 20% extra for every stock – you won’t stand a chance at making money since you’re getting ripped off.

Kraken vs Stars Betting Pick: Over 6.5 Goals at +185 Odds on Fliff Sportsbook

My first NHL bet for Kraken vs Stars is in the “Total Goals” betting market. I’m on the over 6.5 goals at +185 odds on Fliff sportsbook.

Fliff is an 18+ sportsbook that is available in practically every U.S. state. I’ve been able to find a ton of profitable (e.g. Positive EV) bets on Fliff, so I highly recommend signing up for this sportsbook if you don’t already have it.

The Stars offense is clicking. Game 1 of Kraken vs Stars had 9 goals, and the Stars averaged 3.5 goals per game in their Round 1 matchup against the Wild. My prediction is that Game 2 of Kraken vs Stars will be high scoring as well.

OddsJam Positive EV

Most importantly, though, this NHL bet is Positive EV. As seen in the screenshot above, this NHL pick has a profit margin of 3.75% at +185 odds.

Fliff is offering this over at +185 odds, which is crazy value compared to other sportsbooks. Just look at the odds on the over 6.5 goals on other sportsbooks:

  1. DraftKings +160
  2. Betway +165
  3. Golden Nuggets +160
  4. Pin +159

The average odds for the over 6.5 total goals is +165, and we’re getting 20 cents of improvement on Fliff at +185.

NHL Best Bets

I locked this NHL bet in for $100. I’m staking $100 to win $185 in profit. I like to show my betslips because I put my money where my mouth is.

I feel like most bettors overcomplicate sports gambling… Many sports bettors do all sorts of historical analysis, they watch player interviews, etc. The truth is – all of this is baked into the market. Public information is reflected in sportsbook odds. If a player gets injured, sportsbooks update the odds to reflect the injury.

The easiest way to consistently beat the books and get an “edge” is with Positive EV betting. Since sportsbooks set lines independently, we essentially have dozens of data points telling us where a line should be set. For over 6.5 total goals in Kraken vs Stars, the average line was +165 odds. Getting +185 on Fliff is crazy value!

Bet Tracker

I only bet Positive EV. In other words, I only follow the data. Over 99% of sports bettors bet with their “gut” and emotions – that’s why 99% lose money & the sportsbooks are in the business…

I’m up over $9,119.71 this year betting on the NHL according to Pikkit Sports, the verified bet tracker that I use. This bet tracker automatically sync with your sportsbook accounts.

Anyways, I hope this NHL betting preview was helpful. My email is [email protected] if you have any questions about sharp, profitable sports betting. I’m always happy to help!

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