Turn $60 into $1,500: Six SHARP Player Prop Bets for Saturday, May 27

The Eastern Conference Finals is getting interesting… What once looked like a “boring” series is now very close. Miami is now only a slight favorite to win the Eastern Conference Finals, as seen in the odds below from Caesars sportsbook.

Pick #1: Tatum Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds for Heat vs Celtics Game 6 on ParlayPlay

My first NBA prop bet for Game 6 of Heat vs Celtics is Jayson Tatum Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds. I found this sharp player prop pick on the NBA Odds Screen.

I placed this NBA bet on ParlayPlay, a relatively new online sportsbook. ParlayPlay offers a $100 deposit bonus to new users, so I highly recommend signing up. Just deposit $100, and you’ll have $200 total in your account. ParlayPlay literally gives you a free $100 just for signing up… It’s the easiest $100 you’ll ever make!

As seen in the screenshot above, every other sportsbook has Tatum’s Points + Rebounds line set at at 40.5. ParlayPlay is too high relative to every other data point (e.g. sportsbook posting odds), so we want to take the under.

As sharp bettors, we treat every sportsbook as a data point on where the line should be set. Here, it’s clear that ParlayPlay is “slipping up” and their line is too high.

Pick #1: Seguin Over 2.5 Shots on Goal in Stars vs Golden Knights on ParlayPlay

My next player prop pick on ParlayPlay is Tyler Seguin Over 2.5 Shots on Goal. I found this play using the OddsJam Fantasy Optimizer (picks in green = profitable). The Fantasy Optimizer shows the player props on ParlayPlay that are mathematically profitable.

ParlayPlay is a fixed payout platform (very similar to PrizePicks). They don’t change your payout based on the six picks you select. Any six-pick entry has the exact same payout.

To be profitable over time on ParlayPlay with six-pick entries, you need to win over 53.22% of your individual props.

The Fantasy Optimizer will show props that have higher than a 53.22% chance of winning in green, making it simple for you to see which plays to include in your entries.

In this case, you can see Seguin’s over has a 54.65% chance of hitting based on market data. Here at OddsJam we don’t bet based on what we personally think will happen on the court or field, we just identify value in the market. That’s how you make money sports betting – you follow the data.

For Seguin, all sportsbooks have his over 2.5 Shots on Goal as the heavily favored outcome (around -145 odds). Thus, Seguin is a lot more likely to go over as opposed to under according to all data points (e.g. sportsbooks posting odds).

ParlayPlay knows that most sports bettors have zero “edge” (or advantage) – they’ll will win 50%, lose 50% of their over/unders. Thus, recreational bettors with no edge will lose money on ParlayPlay long-term, as they can’t win their player props above 53.22% of the time.

Getting a significant edge like we are here is the only way to consistently win over 53.22% of the time, setting us up to be profitable sports bettors on ParlayPlay.

I have six total prop bets for Saturday, May 27. I’m betting $60 on ParlayPlay to win a payout of $1,500 if all 6 picks win.

My six picks are:

1. Tyler Seguin Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
2. Dean Kremer Over 4.5 Strikeouts
3. Marcus Smart Under 13.5 Points
4. Justin Verlander Under 5.5 Strikeouts
5. Al Horford Over 13.0 Points + Rebounds
6. Jayson Tatum Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds

My results on ParlayPlay speak for itself. I’m up $1,805 in profit on this fantasy sports platform in just a few months, and ParlayPlay only allows a maximum bet size of $60.