PrizePicks – 5 Sharp Player Prop Picks for Saturday, May 20

In this betting preview, I’m going to run through five sharp player props on PrizePicks. I’m staking $100 to win $1,000 if all five picks win. I have NBA, NHL and MLB player prop picks.

Pick #1: Teuvo Teravainen Over 1.5 Shots on Goal

My first pick for Saturday is an NHL prop. I’m on Teravainen o1.5 Shots on Goal (SOG) in Hurricanes vs Panthers, and I found this player prop pick on the OddsJam Fantasy Optimizer (bets in green = profitable).

As seen in the screenshot above from the PrizePicks Optimizer, Teuvo Teravainen over 1.5 Shots on Goal has a win rate of 54.35%. To be profitable on PrizePicks, you need to win at least 54.25% of your player prop over/unders.

If you can win 55% of your player props (only losing 45%), then you’ll make money on PrizePicks long-term. If you can only win 52% of your picks (losing 48%), then you’ll lose money on PrizePicks. It’s that simple.

PrizePicks knows that most sports bettors have zero “edge” (or advantage) – they’ll will win 50%, lose 50% of their player prop over/unders. Thus, recreational bettors with no edge will lose money on PrizePicks long-term, as they can’t win their player props above 54.25% of the time.

The Fantasy Optimizer simply uses sportsbook odds to determine the win probability for each player prop on PrizePicks. Then, this betting tool highlights all of the picks with win probabilities above 54.25% in green, as those plays are profitable.

My 5 player props on PrizePicks are:

• Jamal Murray Under 25.5 Points
• Teuvo Tervainen Over 1.5 SOG
• Jayson Tatum Under 5.0 Assists
• Alek Manoah Over 5.0 Strikeouts
• Grayson Rodriguez Over 5.0 Strikeouts