NBA Conference Finals Game 1 Six-Pick Parlay Picks

I found an incredible six-pick ParlayPlay entry that’s filled with mathematically profitable, positive expected value NBA bets. These picks are for Game 1 of the NBA Western Conference Finals between the Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets, and Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics.

Play #1: Marcus Smart Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds

This first pick comes courtesy of the OddsJam NBA Screen. New subscribers can get a 7-day FREE trial here!

As you can see above, ParlayPlay is the only sportsbook with its line set at 18.5. All other books have Smart’s total set at 17.5, which creates a whole point of value on under 18.5. If Smart ends up with exactly 18 points + rebounds, our under will hit while the over will hit on every other book.

This may seem like a small edge, but any advantage is crucial when trying to beat the sportsbooks. You aren’t going to win every bet you place, but if you consistently have an edge you will profit in the long run.

Play #2: Jaylen Brown Over 27.5 Points + Assists

Here we have the complete opposite situation that we have with Smart. ParlayPlay’s line is one point or assist lower than every other book on the market.

In this case, if Brown ends up with 28 points + assists then our over hits but every other under cashes.

To make money on ParlayPlay, you need to win above 53.22% of your player prop over/unders. Most sports bettors have no edge or advantage, so they win 50% & lose 50% of their picks – that’s how ParlayPlay makes money.

By finding even slight edges like this, we can win above 53.22% of our individual props.

The Full Play

Lots of sports bettors think that you can’t make money in the long run on parlays, which is true if you don’t have an edge. Since I have an edge over the books using OddsJam, I’ve been able to profit in a huge way on parlays alone. Check out this screenshot below from my Pikkit, a verified bet tracker app: