Playoff madness… The Knicks & Warriors are aiming to justsurvive.
In this betting preview, I have a variety of player prop bets for Wednesday, May 10. I have sharp NBA, MLB and tennis betting picks. In these betting previews, I’m just showing/explaining what I’m putting my own money on. If I find value in the MLB, then I’ll have more baseball bets. It’s that simple…
Pick #1: RJ Barrett Over 24.0 Points + Rebounds on ParlayPlay
My first NBA pick for May 10 is RJ Barrett Over 24.0 Points + Rebounds on ParlayPlay. I found this prop bet on the OddsJam NBA Screen.
As seen in the screenshot above, all other sportsbooks/fantasy platforms have Barrett’s line @ 24.5 Points + Rebounds. ParlayPlay is too low relative to every other data point (e.g. sportsbook posting odds), so we want to take the over 24.0 Points + Rebounds for Barrett.
This is data-driven, sharp sports betting. It’s not glamorous, but it makes money.
Pick #2: Klay Thompson Under 23.0 Points on ParlayPlay
My second player prop pick is for Lakers vs Warriors. I’m on Klay Thompson under 23.0 points on ParlayPlay. I found this NBA player prop bet on the OddsJam NBA Screen.
As seen in the screenshot above, all sportsbooks & DFS platforms (e.g. PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy) have Thompson’s line at 22.5 points. ParlayPlay is too high relative to every other data point (e.g. sportsbook posting odds), so we want to take the under.
Pick #3: LeBron James Over 5.5 Assists on ParlayPlay
My third pick is also for Game 6 of Lakers vs Warriors. I’m on LeBron James over 5.5 Assists on ParlayPlay. I found this NBA player prop bet on the OddsJam Fantasy Optimizer (picks in green = profitable).
On ParlayPlay, I bet six total picks. All of my picks are NBA player props. I’m staking $60 to win $1,500 if all 6 prop bets win.
My six picks are:
LeBron James Over 5.5 Assists
Kevin Love Under 8.5 Points
Klay Thompson Under 23.0 Points
RJ Barrett Over 24.0 Points + Rebounds
Julius Randle Under 23.0 Points
Draymond Green Over 15.0 Points + Assists
Pick #4: Bam Adebayo Over 0.5 Steals on PrizePicks
My next NBA prop bet is for Knicks vs Heat. I’m on Bam Adebayo Over 0.5 steals on PrizePicks. This play is from the PrizePicks Fantasy Optimizer.
PrizePicks is a fixed payout platform – they don’t vary your payout based on the picks you select.
On PrizePicks, you need to win at least 54.25% of your player prop over/unders to be profitable. This PrizePicks strategy video explains everything you need to know about making money long-term on this platform.
Since Bam Adebayo’s over 0.5 steals has a win rate of 54.6% according to sportsbook odds, this play is profitable in a PrizePicks flex play.
In this PrizePicks flex play, I’m staking $400 to win a total payout of $4,000 if all 5 picks hit. My 5 picks are:
Munar vs Kokkinakis Under 23.5 Games
Popyrin vs o’Connell Over 22.5 Games
Frech vs Paoletti Under 18.5 Games
Eduardo Rodriguez Under 5.5 Strikeouts
Bam Adebayo Over 0.5 Steals
Pick #5: Munar vs Kokkinakis Under 23.5 Games on PrizePicks
My fifth pick is a tennis player prop. I’m on Munar vs Kokkinakis Under 23.5 Games on PrizePicks, and I found this prop bet on the OddsJam Positive EV Tool (bet in bold/green = profitable).
Once again, I’m staking $400 on PrizePicks to win $4,000. There’s some overlap with the first PrizePicks slip, but my five picks are: