Early Value on Lakers vs. Nuggets Game 2 Spread

What a game we saw between the Lakers and Nuggets in Denver Tuesday night. Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets looked like world-beaters in the first half, but the Lakers kept hanging around and ended up coming up just a bit short.

Game 2 isn’t until Thursday night, but that doesn’t mean it’s too early to start getting profitable, positive expected value bets down. Value can appear at any time leading up to the start of a game. If you’re dead set on only placing bets minutes before a game starts, you’ll miss out on a lot of value.

Lakers vs. Nuggets Pick: Nuggets -4.5 | -110 at Fliff

I have no idea what will happen in Game 2, but when I see value like this I can’t pass it up. I bet by following the data. That’s how you actually make money in sports betting… You look for value & inefficiencies in the market. The best way to do that is by using the OddsJam Positive EV Tool. Look at these odds below:

As you can see, Fliff is a major outlier here. FanDuel, Caesars, and DraftKings all have the Nuggets -4.5 as the favored line with a price in the -130s. As does the sharpest sportsbook in the world on the right, which has Lakers +4.5 at +118. This creates an arbitrage opportunity where it’s possible to bet on both sides and guarantee a profit.

Instead of taking both sides though, I like to just bet on the book that is slipping up and is farther away from where the rest of the market is. In this case, that’s Fliff.

This bet was found using the OddsJam Positive EV Tool (bet in bold/green = profitable). The Positive EV Tool is pretty simple to use – you just hit the betting picks in green & bold. So in the screenshot above, the Nuggets -4.5 at -110 on Fliff is bolded and highlighted in green, suggesting you bet the Nuggets at that specific sportsbook.

The Positive EV Tool is just based in data – sportsbook odds… Long story short, OddsJam takes the “fluff” out of sports betting on Fliff and every other sportsbook and DFS site.

Another great thing about Fliff is that it’s a social sportsbook, so it’s available to users in many states where the classic sportsbooks aren’t yet allowed.