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The best bets and resources to make you more profitable
|Heat Win Percentage||45%|
|Sixers Win Percentage||55%|
|Heat-Sixers Over / Under||207|
|Game Date & Time||May 12, 7:00 p.m. ET|
The series heads back to Philly as the Heat are up 3-2 after their dominating performance in game 5. The Heat controlled the game from the jump and didn’t look back thanks to a stellar all around shooting performance. Now, as we head to Philadelphia, the Heat have an opportunity to close out the series and head to the Eastern Conference Finals.
The Heat looked like a completely different team on their home court in game 5 on Tuesday. They finally got significant contributions from their role players; something that was lacking in games 3 and 4. The Heat can clinch the series with a win on Thursday night.
To do that, they’ll need to do something they haven’t yet this series, win in Philadelphia. Miami has struggled on the Sixers home court this series. Shooting less than 50% from the field and less than 30% from 3 in both games.
While the energy in Philly will be off the charts, these are the type of game the Heat are built for. With veteran leadership and efficient role players, it’s hard to imagine their Philadelphia shooting woes continuing to that magnitude.
Game 6 was certainly one to forget for the Sixers. So much so that Doc Rivers gave the cliche “Burn the Tape” line to reporters after the game. While you would expect the Sixers to feed off their home crowd’s energy, it’s hard to overlook the faults they have in this series.
To start, Joel Embiid does not look like himself after returning to the lineup. It’s understandable, given the amount of injuries he’s playing through. But this team can only go as far as Embiid can take them. Anything short of a dominating performance just won’t cut it against the Heat, especially in a close out game 6. I worry about Embiid’s ability to take over a game, like we saw in round 1, with these lingering injuries.
Without Embiid’s full production, the Sixers will need to turn to one of their secondary players. The good news for them is that in their 2 home games, someone not named Joel Embiid carried them to wins. But, it’s hard to count on that every game. If Embiid can’t find his MVP level on Thursday night, the Sixers may be headed to Cancun earlier than they’d like.
What can we expect Thursday night for game 6? Well, in reading the line, I see this as a Heat line. Philly, at -2, is getting slightly less juice than the typical standard home court line. Even if you like Philly to win the game, I love the value you get with taking the Heat points. Without Embiid at 100%, I don’t see the Sixers being able to pull away from the Heat.
I’m looking for a close game between these teams on Thursday. You’re getting a lot of value here while also getting an extra half point off the mainline.
I see the Heat winning this game and the series. Philly has not proven yet that they can take that step up and seem to be stuck in this conference semifinals purgatory. The Heat’s experience and coaching winout in this one.
Heat 107 – Sixers 104