Best NBA Parlay Bets, Picks, & Predictions

Best NBA Parlay – April 6th, 2022

For the traditional NBA parlay, I have a 3-leg parlay that I placed on Caesars Sportsbook.

Detroit Pistons +5.5
Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5
Cavaliers/Nets over 230.5
+595 odds

If people are sick of me jabbering on about the Pistons being covering monsters lately- I get it. Especially since they didn’t cover the spread in their last game.

With that said, I am still riding with the Pistons to cover the 5.5 points tonight against the Bucks. All those stats I keep listing about the Pistons ATS are true, minus the most recent game in which they didn’t cover. But, I like this game against the Bucks for another reason.

The Bucks are going to be on the second night of a back-to-back. They beat the Celtics last night in a close game in which Giannis, Khris Middleton, and Jrue Holiday all played 38+ minutes. The guess here is that all 3 are going to be rested tonight.

Next up, I am ~~backing the Thunde~~r fading the Lakers. This spread opened up at Thunder +9, and has been bet all the way down to the +4.5 number I got it at.

The Lakers are on the second night of a back-to-back, and they are also a joke. I get that the Thunder stink, but they are at least young and try hard. The Lakers stink but are also old and stopped caring in February. Give me the Thunder here.

Lastly, we are counting on points to be scored in the Nets vs Cavaliers game. 230 points is a lot, but we are tracking sharp money coming in on this over. It opened at 229, and was bet all the way up to 232 on some books. So, getting it at 230.5 represents Positive Expected Value.

Looking at the specific matchup, I can see points being scored. The Cavs are a solid defense on the season as a whole, but they have struggled with Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley out of the lineup.

Even though they get Mobley back tonight, it is still his first game back so it will be unlikely that he will play his full set of minutes, and some rust should be expected.

On the defensive side for the Nets- they don’t really play defense. It is as simple as that. They have been known to ratchet up their defense in playoff type atmospheres, but that won’t be tonight. I’ll take Kyrie, KD and both of these teams to put up points tonight.

Best NBA Parlay – April 6th, 2022

For the traditional NBA parlay, I have a 3-leg parlay that I boosted the odds using PointsBet Sportsbook. For those of you who aren’t familiar, PointsBet offers two parlay boosts a day. One on a same game parlay, and the other on a traditional parlay. It’s a great promo that we love taking advantage of.

Detroit Pistons +8.5
Boston Celtics -7.5
Oklahoma City Thunder +16
+595 odds

Really liking this 3-leg NBA parlay for today. First up, we are continuing to back the Detroit Pistons. I’ve been screaming from a mountain top that the Pistons have been covering machines for two months now, but it feels as though Vegas hasn’t caught up yet.

They are still 8.5 point underdogs tonight at home against the Mavs. Don’t get me wrong, the Mavs are great, but this young Pistons team is playing with legit effort. They have now covered in 5 straight games, and in 8 of 10. I love getting them at +8.5.

For the 2nd leg of this parlay, we are backing the Celtics and fading the Bulls in another trend that I have been following to end this season. As the favorite, the Bulls cover the spread at the highest rate in the entire NBA- 67.4%. But, as the underdog they cover at the 2nd worst rate in the NBA- 31.3%.

So, fading the Bulls when they are underdogs is a profitable strategy. I also love backing the Celtics, who have been the best team in the NBA since January 1st 2022.

Lastly, I’m backing the Thunder to cover the massive spread of 16 points against the Jazz in what ended up being a Positive EV play I took directly from the OddsJam Positive EV page.

The Thunder certainly aren’t good, but the Jazz are reeling. They had lost 6 of 7 before beating the Grizzlies last night. That looks like a good win on paper, but the Grizzlies rested a lot of their players so that victory isn’t as good as it looks.

I’m certainly not confident that the Thunder will win, but I do love getting the spread at such a high number.

Best NBA Parlay – March 30th, 2022

Boston Celtics -4.5
Phoenix Suns -4.5
Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5
+581 odds.

Looking at the first leg between the Celtics and the Heat, I see no reason not to back the Celtics. They are 2-0 against the Heat this season, and I expect that to be 3-0 after tonights game.

The Celtics have been the best team in the NBA since the calendars turned to 2022, while the Heat are skidding as of late. Give me the Celtics to win and cover the point spread at home tonight.

Next up, we are backing the team who has been the best team in the NBA the entire season. The Suns have won 8 straight and are 9-1 in their last 10 games, oh, and by the way, they just got Chris Paul back from injury.

On the Warriors side, since Steph got hurt they are 1-6, with some grotesque losses in there too. They’ve lost to 3 teams with losing records, and most recently were blown out by the Grizzlies by 28 points.

Lastly, I love the Timberwolves to cover 2.5 points against the Raptors. The game being in Toronto does make me nervous, but the ‘Twolves have been hot recently.

At the end of January the Timberwolves were a .500 team, but since February 1st they have gone 18-8 overall and 10-4 in March. On the season as a whole they are up to 8th in net rating.

They aren’t getting a ton of love because of how bad they have been for so long, but this is a legit team. I wouldn’t be surprised if they won straight up.

Best NBA Parlay – March 29th, 2022

Sixers/Bucks over 232
Lakers/Mavericks under 218
Pistons +13.5
+611 Odds

For the first two legs of this parlay, we are backing sharp money.

Starting with the Sixers/Bucks over- sharp money drove this total from the opening line of 226.5 to where it sits now, at 232. Money is still coming in on this over, so I still like it even at 232.

The last time these two teams played was in February, and the final score of that game was 123-120. I expect another high scoring game tonight.

Same logic applies to the Lakers/Mavs under. The total for this game started at 223.5, and dropped all the way down to 218 with more money still coming in on the under.

The Lakers are on the 2nd half of a back to back with LeBron unlikely to play, while the Mavericks have one of the best defenses in the NBA. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Lakers didn’t get to triple digits.

Lastly, we are backing the Pistons to cover once again. I’ve written about this before, but the Pistons have been a covering machine as of late.

They’ve covered in 6 of their last 10 games, and had a stretch earlier this month where they covered in 12 straight eastern conference games. The Nets are most likely going to win, but I like the Pistons to keep it within under 14.

Best NBA Parlay – March 28th, 2022

Nuggets/Hornets over 233.5
Celtics/Raptors under 213
Thunder/Blazers over 221
+611 Odds

Decided to stick solely with 3 over/unders for todays parlay. For the Nuggets and Hornets game, I love this over. The Hornets play at one of the fastest paces in the league, while also having one of the worst defenses in the league.

On the Denver side- they have the 4th highest % of their games hit the over. So, adding everything up this is a combination the screams high scoring NBA game.

For the Raptors and Celtics game, they have played 3 times this year and every time the total has gone under 213. Actually, in all 3 games at least one of the teams failed to score 100 points. This game features two of the best defenses in the NBA, so I expect a rock fight here.

Lastly, we are backing the over for the Thunder and Blazers game. Generally, in NBA games that feature two tanking teams with nothing to play for, not a ton of defense is played. The Thunder decided against winning for the foreseeable future and instead accumulated an insane amount of draft capital, while the Blazers punted on this season.

Dame has been ruled out for the year with an abdominal injury, and at the trade deadline the Blazers unloaded CJ McCollum to the Pelicans. Admittedly, these aren’t two great offenses which is concerning, but the guess here is that the lack of effort from both defenses will lead to this game going over.

Best NBA Parlay – March 24th, 2022

Denver Nuggets -4
Washington Wizards/Milwaukee Bucks under 232.5
New Orleans Pelicans -2
+611 Odds

For our first leg, we are backing the Nuggets point spread -4 in their matchup against the Suns. The main thing to look for when looking to bet on this game is the injury/rest news coming out of Phoenix. The Suns will be on a back to back, after a hard fought victory against the Timberwolves last night, on Wednesday, March 23rd.

As of the time of this writing, no Suns players have been announced out, aside from Chris Paul obviously. With that said, I like the value of getting the Nuggets -4. The guess here is that even if the Suns don’t rest anybody they will have tired legs, going against a rested Nuggets team.

For our 2nd leg, we are backing sharp money and taking the under in the Wizards/Bucks game. This might sound surprising seeing as the Bucks have a great offense and the Wizards have a, well, not great defense.

With that said, these two teams have played twice this year and both times the total went well under this number. In the past couple years the Wizards have been known for being a high scoring team, but that just hasn’t been the case this season. They are 22nd in the NBA in points per game averaging just over 108 points this season.

The Bucks also recently got Brook Lopez back from injury, who is a big boost to their defense. 232 is a high number, and I expect the Bucks to be able to slow down the Wizards porous offense.

Lastly, we are fading the Bulls against the Pelicans. Despite having a good season overall, Chicago has the 3rd worst cover rate in the NBA as underdogs. They only cover a third of the time when they are the underdog.

After a horrible start, the Pelicans have been playing much better basketball recently. Since December 1st, the Pelicans have a respectable 14th best net rating in the NBA, while the Bulls are down at 20th.

Best NBA Parlay – March 23rd, 2022

San Antonio Spurs -10
Golden State Warriors/Miami Heat under 211.5
Detroit Pistons +4.5
+595 Odds

First up, we are backing the Spurs to cruise to a double digit victory against the Portland Trail Blazers and cover the 10 point spread. In researching this pick, I was shocked to see the spread open at Spurs -2, and sharp money has moved this all the way up to -10! That is a ton of line movement, and sharp money is still rolling in on the Spurs. So, the guess here is that this spread will end closer to Spurs -12 or so.

The Spurs only have a game lead on the Blazers in terms of record, but this Blazers team has essentially given up on the season. They are 2-8 in their last 10, and star Damian Lillard has been ruled out for the season. The Spurs are still playing hard for Pop while the Blazers are ready for the season to end.

In the 2nd leg, we are once again fading the Warriors offense and taking the Warriors/Heat under. Not only are they playing on a back to back, but their offense has been in a tailspin since Curry hurt his foot. They’ve put up 90 or fewer points in 2 of their last 3 games, and in tonights game they go against the NBAs leading defense in the Miami Heat. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Warriors score in the 80s again in this game.

Lastly, we are backing the covering machine Detroit Pistons and also fading the Atlanta Hawks. Detroit has covered in 8 of their last 10 games overall, and in 13 straight against the eastern conference.

The Hawks, meanwhile, just can’t string together multiple good games in a row. They are coming off a win against the Knicks last night, but also playing on a back-to-back hurts the Hawks. In 13 games with no rest, they have only covered 4 times.

Best NBA Parlay – March 22nd, 2022

For the traditional NBA parlay, I have a 4-leg parlay that I boosted the odds using PointsBet Sportsbook. For those of you who aren’t familiar, PointsBet offers two parlay boosts a day. One on a same game parlay, and the other on a traditional parlay. It’s a great promo that we love taking advantage of.

Atlanta Hawks/New York Knicks under 225.5
Milwaukee Bucks -7
Los Angeles Clippers/Denver Nuggets over 222.5
Orlando Magic +7.5
+1228 odds

Since there are only 4 NBA games tonight, I decided to make this parlay include a play from every game. In total, we got 4 legs, one from each game, at +1228 odds. Starting off, we are again taking a game total going under in the Knicks vs Hawks game. These two teams have played 3 times this year, and all 3 games have gone under this total. In 2 of the 3 games the game total didn’t even break 200, and in the first meeting between these two teams neither team scored 100 points. The Knicks also play at the 3rd slowest pace in the entire league. Tom Thibodeau are known for their slow and archaic offenses, and this Knicks team is no different. I expect points to be hard to come by in this matchup tonight.

For the 2nd leg, we are backing the Bucks -7 against the Bulls. Sharp money has been coming in on the Bucks, driving this spread from 5.5, which it was at when the betting markets opened, to where it sits now, which is -7. The book on the Bulls this year is that they beat the bad teams but can’t hang with the big boys. The stats bare this out as well- Chicago has the 3rd worst cover rate in the NBA as underdogs. They only cover a third of the time when they are the underdog. On the flip side, they cover close to 70% of the time as favorites. So, the general rule of thumb for the Bulls is to fade them when they are underdogs, which we are doing here.

Next up, I like the over in the Clippers/Nuggets game. This is another example in which we are backing the sharp money. The total for this game opened up at 219.5, and has been bet all the way up to 222.5. There is still money coming in on the over, so the guess here is that this total will continue to increase in our favor, which will make this over 222.5 bet beat the closing line.

Lastly, to round out this 4-leg parlay we are once again fading the Steph Curry-less Warriors. The Warriors are 0-2 in the two games since Curry has gotten hurt, with both losses being at home. Their last game against the Spurs they were 6.5 point favorites and lost outright. Now, they have to travel all the way to Orlando to take on the Magic. Now let’s make no bones about it- this Magic team is bad. But, with that said, they haven’t been as horrible since the all-star break. They have “only” been blown out (meaning lost by double digits) 3 times since the break, and 2 of those games were against the NBAs best in the Nets and Grizzlies. During this span they have played both the Sixers and the Suns tough, losing by one score, and also have victories over decent teams in the Raptors and Timberwolves. I’m not confident the Magic will win, but I do like them to keep it somewhat close.

Best NBA Parlay – March 20th, 2022

Denver Nuggets Moneyline
Memphis Grizzlies -11.5
Toronto Raptors/Philadelphia 76ers under 221
+683 odds

I love backing the Nuggets in this spot. PointsBet offers the Nuggets moneyline at +135 odds, while the OddsJam true line prices this at +129. So, we are getting Positive Expected Value on this moneyline bet. Both teams are hot coming into this game, with the Celtics going 8-2 in their last 10, and Nuggets coming off legitimately impressive wins against the Sixers, Nets, and Warriors in the past month. It is admittedly tough to bet against the Celtics who have worked their way to the 3rd best net rating in the NBA, but I love the value of the Nuggets moneyline and backing Jokic in this spot.

For the 2nd leg, we are backing the young and plucky but also really good Grizzlies to cover the spread against the lowly Rockets. The Grizzlies are a fun team because they are young and talk a lot of trash, but they are also legitimately good. They are all the way up at 2nd in a loaded western conference. The Grizzlies cover the spread at over a 63% rate, which is tops in the NBA. They had covered in 4 straight games until their most recent slip up against the Hawks. The Grizzlies have also covered almost 70% of the time after a loss, so there is a lot in favor of the Grizzlies here.

Lastly, we are fading the offenses and backing the defenses in the matchup between the Raptors and Sixers, and taking the under as our 3rd and final leg. There are a couple reasons I like the under in this matchup, but most of all has to do with the slow pace in which these team offenses play. The Sixers play at the 2nd slowest pace in the NBA, while the Raptors are the 5th slowest. Pace is the biggest factor when it comes to totals going over/under, so two teams in the top 5 of slowest pace in the league screams under.

Best NBA Parlay – March 19th, 2022

Los Angeles Lakers +3
Detroit Pistons +7
Milwaukee Bucks/ Minnesota Timberwolves
Odds: +595

I get it- backing the Lakers in what has been a season from hell is a scary thought, but this is actually the most mathematically profitable bet of the 3. We got the Lakers +3 at -110 odds, while every other book prices this spread at +2.5 or +2. So, getting that extra point generates positive closing line value as of the time of this writing, and the OddsJam Perfect Line prices this at -131. For basketball reasons I like the bet as well. The Lakers are coming off a legitimately impressive win against the Raptors, a rare game in which Russell Westbrook actually played well. The Wizards, meanwhile, are coming off a grotesque loss to the Knicks. Both the teams are playing on a back to back, with the Lakers game going into OT. So there is the concern of tired legs for the Lakers, but the guess here is that concern will be mitigated with the Wizards also playing on a 2nd straight night. But, overall, the Wizards are just as big of a trainwreck as the Lakers, so getting the 3 points is valuable here.

For the 2nd leg, we are backing on the Pistons to cover the spread. Despite having one of the worst records in the NBA, the Pistons have quietly been a covering machine as of late. They have covered in 12 straight games against the eastern conference, and also covered in 9 of their last 10 games. They have rookie Cade Cunningham who has been playing well as of late, and they are a frisky, albeit still bad, team. The Pistons were also off yesterday while the Cavs will be on a back to back and had their game go into OT. The Cavs did have an impressive win last night against the Nuggets, but have struggled overall as of late. The Cavs have dropped to the 6 seed in the East, as they have only won 5 of their last 14 games. I wouldn’t surprised if the Pistons won straight up, but either way definitely love them to cover.

For the last leg we are just counting on these two awesome offenses to score. The Wolves are 1st in the NBA in points per game, while the Bucks are only two spots lower at 3rd. Even if you look at more advanced stats like offensive net rating, they are both still in the top 6- with the Bucks 4th and the TWolves 6th. These two teams can score, and they can score in bunches. Minnesota also has the highest % of their games go over in the NBA, with them going over the total 60% of the time.

Best NBA Parlay – March 18th, 2022

Dallas Mavericks Moneyline
New Orleans Pelicans +3.5
Grizzlies/Hawks Over 236.5
Odds: +738

For the first leg of this parlay, we are riding with the Dallas Mavericks moneyline against the 76ers. This is a good bet for a number of reasons. Most importantly, as of the time of this writing Joel Embiid is questionable with a back injury. The Mavs moneyline is currently +135. If Embiid ends up being ruled out, that number is going to skyrocket in favor of the Mavs. Also, the Mavs have been hot recently. They have won 4 of their last 5, with 3 wins over elite teams in the Jazz, Celtics, and the Nets. The Sixers, on the other hand, have been struggling since the initial excitement of adding Harden. I like the Mavs here if Embiid plays, and they become close to a lock if he sits.

Also love the value of getting +3.5 for the New Orleans Pelicans in their game against the Spurs. Their overall record is nothing to be impressed with, but they have been much better since a slow start to the season, and especially since acquiring CJ McCollum. Since the trade went down, the Pelicans have the 9th best plus/minus in the NBA as well as the 9th best net rating. The Spurs, meanwhile, have been mediocre all year. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Pelicans won straight up, so I love the value of getting them +3.5 here.

Lastly, betting on the over for both the Hawks and Grizzlies individually has been a profitable bet to make all year. So, in a game between these two teams I expect there to be fireworks. The Hawks average the 8th most points per game in the NBA, while the Grizzlies are 4th. The Grizzlies are relatively average on defense, but the Hawks are among the worst defensive teams in the NBA. Putting all this together- I love this game going over 236.5. The true line of this game puts this total at 237.5, so getting a full point lower represents good value.

Best NBA Parlay – March 16th, 2022

For the traditional NBA parlay, I have a 3-leg parlay that I boosted the odds using PointsBet Sportsbook. For those of you who aren’t familiar, PointsBet offers two parlay boosts a day. One on a same game parlay, and the other on a traditional parlay. Odds Boosts are great promos that we love taking advantage of.

Under 233.5 in Thunder vs Spurs
Denver Nuggets -6.5
Atlanta Hawks -1
Odds: +586 (boosted from +529)

For the first leg, we are fading the offenses of the Thunder and the Spurs. The Thunder have the worst offense in the NBA both in terms of points per game, and also offensive net rating. To put it bluntly- they are horrible on offense.

The Spurs, meanwhile, are perfectly average on offense. They are 15th in offensive net rating in the NBA. 233.5 is a high total as well. The real risk here is the pace at which these two teams play offense, which is most likely why the total is as high as it is. But, with how bad these two teams are on offense, we are betting against these two offenses. The defenses of each team isn’t horrible either, with both the Hornets and the Spurs having a defensive net rating in the top 2/3rds of the league.

Backing the Nuggets is a much easier sell, with the potential MVP in Jokic playing phenomenal basketball as of late. The Nuggets had dropped two straight, but got an impressive win last game in Philly, and the guess here is that they continue their hot streak on their east coast trip. They go up against a Wizards team that is really bad (7th worst Net Rating in the NBA) and also are riding a cold streak. They are one of the rare teams that have actually lost to the Lakers since the all-star break. They also lost to the Trail Blazers who have also been horrible as of late. Add it all up, and this game has a lot of value when backing the Nuggets.

Lastly, I am putting my faith in Trae Young and the Hawks to beat the Hornets. Overall, these are two average teams. The Hawks are 15th in Net Rating, while the Hornets are 17th. The real reason to back the Hawks in this spot is the emergence of Young. He’s gone over 45 points in his past two games, and overall is averaging 33 points per game in his last 9. Charlotte, who is one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, won’t be able to contain Young. Not that the Hawks have been much better defensively, but I think Young will be able to do enough to get the Hawks a win tonight. Maybe I am putting too much stock in the Hawks run to the Eastern Conference Finals last season, but I’m riding with the Hawks as the last leg of this parlay.

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Best NBA Parlay – March 16th, 2022

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