Leg #1: Al Horford Over 8.5 Points | -105 at Fliff
7:30 p.m. ET
My first pick in this article for May 11 is Al Horford to score over 8.5 points which I got at -105 on Fliff. Just take a look at the value we are getting here. DraftKings is at -125, FanDuel at -128, and Caesars prices this all the way at -137. Getting -105 is an absolute steal.
Follow the data – that’s how you actually make money sports betting… You look for value & inefficiencies in the market.
As sharp bettors, we treat every sportsbook as a data point on where the line should be set. In this case, all data points (e.g. bookmakers posting odds) have Horford’s line significantly favored, so Fliff is providing insane value. Hit the over!
This player prop was found using the OddsJam Positive EV Tool (bet in bold/green = profitable). The Positive EV Tool is pretty simple to use – you just hit the betting picks in green & bold. So in the screenshot above, Horford’s over 8.5 on Fliff is bolded and highlighted in green, suggesting you bet the over at that specific sportsbook.
The Positive EV Tool is just based in data – sportsbook odds… Long story short, OddsJam takes the “fluff” out of sports betting on Fliff and every other sportsbook and DFS site.
I decided to make this the first leg of my parlay, alongside another positive EV play: Domingo German over 5.5 strikeouts.
Some people like to say that parlays aren’t the way to make money sports betting, but if the parlays are positive expected value they can be super profitable. Check out my profit chart from Pikkit, a verified bet tracker.
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