I hope these two series aren’t over quickly. More games = more opportunities to find profitable bets. The Nuggets have a 3-0 lead over the Lakers in the Western Conference while the Heat have a 2-0 lead over the Celtics in the Eastern Conference.
I found a profitable six-pick parlay on ParlayPlay with player props from both matchups.
Just look at the screenshot above. Every other book has his total listed at 30.5, and we are getting 31.5 on ParlayPlay. DraftKings and FanDuel even have the under 30.5 slightly favored. That’s a whole point of value we are getting with Tatum’s under.
If Tatum lands on exactly 31, our under at ParlayPlay hits while the over hits on all the other books. It may seem unlikely that he lands on exactly 31, but that edge makes all the difference in sports betting.
ParlayPlay is a fixed payout platform. To be profitable on this fantasy sports platform, we need to win above 53.22% of our player prop over/unders.
ParlayPlay knows that most sports bettors have zero “edge” (or advantage) – they’ll will win 50%, lose 50% of their over/unders. Thus, recreational bettors with no edge will lose money on ParlayPlay long-term, as they can’t win their player props above 53.22% of the time.
Getting a significant edge like we are here is the only way to consistently win over 53.22% of the time, setting us up to be profitable sports bettors on ParlayPlay.