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NBA

$1,000 Six-Leg ParlayPlay Player Props for Tuesday, May 23

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

I’ve found six mathematically profitable picks on ParlayPlay for Tuesday night’s action, including Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals. We’ll be looking to turn those six picks into $1,000 by reading the market and doing what the data is telling us to do.

Our first two picks are from two key role players in Game 4. Let’s dive into it.

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Pick #1: Robert Williams Under 7.5 Points

I found this play using OddsJam’s Fantasy Screen tool, where each pick listed in green is mathematically profitable. That means that each of these bets has a higher implied probability than the -113 odds of each leg in this slip.

As you can see, we are getting some pretty clear value on this bet at ParlayPlay. With standard sportsbooks like BetMGM and DraftKings having this at -135 odds and higher, there is clear value on this bet in our parlay at -113 odds.

Reading the data from sportsbooks is critical in becoming a profitable sports bettor. For example, the books that have this at -135 and -140 are telling you that they project Williams’ under to be more likely to hit than his over. At daily fantasy sites like ParlayPlay, the odds are the same for the over and under, so it’s critical to take the one that has a higher probability of winning.

Williams has seen his role partially decline, as he was removed from the starting lineup in Game 3 in favor of Derrick White, who has been hot from downtown. White again had a nice night shooting, so it’s fair to assume Williams will be coming off the bench again, which is favorable for our under here.

Pick 2: Gabe Vincent Over 17 Points + Assists + Rebounds

This play comes from the OddsJam Sportsbook Screen page, where we’re getting a half point of value on one of Miami’s top shooters in Game 4.

Every other sportsbook is giving us 17.5 for this prop, yet ParlayPlay is offering 17. If Vincent’s PRA ends at exactly 17, that’s the difference between a push and a loss. Here, Underdog is offering his over at 17.5 for -122, while ParlayPlay has this same bet at 17 for -128.

Vincent has been on fire for Miami, as he’s coming off a 29-point performance that would have soared over this total on its own. It’s just as promising that he logged 40 minutes of playing time, which gives plenty of opportunities for additional points by way of rebounds and assists in Game 4.

ParlayPlay Player Props

In order to be profitable long term profitable at ParlayPlay, you need to be winning your bets more than 53.22% of the time. Finding sharp bets like this are key to hitting above that number. Check out my explanation of this on YouTube below, where I break this down in further detail.

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