Can We Make $800 on this Sharp 2-Leg Parlay on Thursday, May 25?

I have been finding insane value on Fliff using the OddsJam Positive EV tool all throughout this year’s NBA playoffs. For Thursday, I’ve got a two-leg parlay that has a play from the highly-anticipated Heat-Celtics game, as well as another pick with great value from Major League Soccer. Let’s get into it.

Pick #1: Grant Williams Over 6.5 Points

I found this play using both the OddsJam Positive EV tool and by looking at how the market has shaped up with this bet since the line opened. First, check out this incredible value that I found on this play on Fliff.

We are getting this play for -115 at Fliff, while DraftKings is offering this same bet for -140. Our -115 odds are also lower than the average odds across all sportsbooks. We always want to be checking for the best value possible across all sportsbooks, which is what we did here on this play.

Using the Odds Graph, we can see that this bet opened up at around -110 odds and has since moved down to -140. That leads me to believe that the sportsbooks think he’ll get more minutes than originally thought, which is why they’ve increased the price on this bet.

Remember, always read into what the sportsbooks are telling us. In this instance, DraftKings’ data is showing that they predict Williams to go over this total in this game, so we’re going to head over to Fliff with that knowledge and place the bet at -115.

Williams had a nice outing in Game 4 in Miami, where he totaled 14 points and logged 29 minutes. With the betting markets increasing his odds to go over his total, it’s looking like he may get a similar amount of playing time after being a sort of afterthought early in the series.

Check out my full slip below that includes my other pick as well from the MLS in Charlotte FC against the LA Galaxy.

Full Slip: