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A Smart Bet on Marcus Smart: 6 “No Brainer” Player Prop Picks
AP Photos
I found six sharp bets on ParlayPlay, a relatively new fantasy sports platform. I’ve been able to find a lot of profitable player props on ParlayPlay since signing up… So far, I’m at $2,410 profit on this DFS platform.
In these articles, I literally just show you where I’m finding value and explain why each pick is profitable. I didn’t expect ParlayPlay to have so many profitable player props, but, as sharp bettors, we follow the value…
If there’s more value on Underdog Fantasy in a given day, then I’ll have more articles with Underdog Fantasy picks. I only place bets when I find an edge.
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Some days, there’s a lot of profitable picks on ParlayPlay. Other days, the value is FanDuel sportsbook or PrizePicks. That’s why more accounts = merrier in sports betting… You never know which sportsbook is going to “slip up” and offer profitable bets on a given day.
Pick #1: Marcus Smart Under 17.0 Points + Rebounds on ParlayPlay for 76ers vs Celtics
My first NBA bet for tonight was found using the Odds Screen. I’m on Marcus Smart under 17.0 Points + Rebounds.
As seen in the screenshot above, ParlayPlay is the only sportsbook with Smart’s line at 17.0 Points + Rebounds. PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy and every other bookmaker has Smart’s line at 16.5.
ParlayPlay is too high relative to every other data point (e.g. sportsbook posting odds), so we want to take Smart’s under 17.0 Pts + Rebs. If you want to actually make money sports betting, it’s all about finding picks like this one…
Hunting through the sports betting market & looking for value (e.g. an “edge”) is not glamorous, but it makes money. And I place bets to make money…
If it’s confusing why this play is profitable, let me give you a simple analogy.
As seen in the screenshot above from Fidelity, the current price of Amazon stock (Ticker: AMZN) is $112.18.
Next, check out the price of Amazon on Robinhood, eTrade or any other platform. The price is basically identical… There’s hundreds of trading platforms that have Amazon priced around $112.20.
Now imagine your friend offers to give you Amazon stock for $105. That would be a “no brainer” deal… Buy it! The “fair” value of Amazon is $112.20, and there’s dozens of data points telling you that…
It’s the same thing here for Marcus Smart. There’s dozens of data points (e.g. sportsbooks posting odds) telling you that Smart’s Pts + Rebs line should be set at 16.5. Being able to get Smart under 17.0 Pts + Rebs is clear value!
Pick #1: Bam Adebayo Over 0.5 Steals on ParlayPlay for Heat vs Knicks
My next player prop bet is also an NBA pick. I’m on Bam Adebayo Over 0.5 Steals, and I found this prop bet on the Fantasy Optimizer.
All of the player props highlighted in green are profitable picks on ParlayPlay. The Fantasy Optimizer doesn’t just work for ParlayPlay, though – you can use this betting tool to find sharp picks on Underdog Fantasy, JockMKT, PrizePicks and more.
I use a variety of this prop bets in my ParlayPlay entry. I’m on Anthony Davis Over 13.5 Rebounds, Tommy Henry Under 4.5 Strikeouts, Matty Beniers Over 1.5 Shots on Goal and LeBron James Over 5.5 Assists.
A screenshot of my six pick entry on ParlayPlay is below. I put my money where my mouth is…
I’m staking $60 total on this 6 pick entry. If I win all six picks, then my payout will be $1,500.
