Last Minute ParlayPlay Entry for MLB Thursday Action

Another day, another sharp ParlayPlay betting slip.

I have been finding constant value with ParlayPlay and that continues this afternoon with another six-pick entry. I’m off to a great start with them this year with over $3,500 in profit, despite only be allowed a maximum of $60 risk per entry.

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Pick #1: Marcus Stroman Under 5.5 Strikeouts

I found this play on the OddsJam Odds Screen.

The Screen is my one-stop shop for comparing lines and odds across any sport and any market. Here, you can see that most sportsbooks have this line at 4.5.

Now, the over 4.5 is favored but the full strikeout discrepancy is where we find the value. Statistically speaking, it’s fairly likely that he ends on exactly five strikeouts. That would mean the over bettors on the sportsbooks win, but we win our under 5.5 on ParlayPlay. If the books were offering a line at 5.5, the under would be significantly favored.

In order to be profitable long term at ParlayPlay, you need to be winning your bets more than 53.2% of the time. That’s why it’s so important to bet with an edge, like we are in this example, as you will otherwise find it very difficult to win more than that profit margin.

Pick #2: Kyle Bradish Under 5.5 Strikeouts

This pick comes from the OddsJam Fantasy Optimizer:

As you can see, the books are listing his under as the significant favorite with DraftKings at -140. This means that they expect the chances of Bradish to go under his total are higher than the chances that he goes over.

ParlayPlay is a fixed payout platform, which means that the odds are the same regardless if you pick the over or under. Since we have this sharp bet here where the under is favored in the market at a higher total, we can take this at ParlayPlay with confidence.

Full Slip