Best MLB Strikeout Prop Today: Value on Kirby at Fliff

Another day, another slate of Major League Baseball for us to find value in.

This bet is from Fliff, a social sportsbook available in many states where books like DraftKings and FanDuel are not.

If you haven’t signed up for Fliff yet, be sure to do so using code ‘ODDSJAM’ for a $100 deposit match. It’s free money, so you might as well take it!

George Kirby Under 6.5 Strikeouts | -105 at Fliff

I found this play on the OddsJam Positive Expected Value tool.

Take a look at the screenshot above. Most sportsbooks including DraftKings have this play in the -130 range, and we are getting -105 on Fliff.

This means that instead of risking $130 to win $100, we can only risk $105 to win $100. Should this bet lose, that’s $25 saved on a bet to win $100.

Sports betting is all about finding value in the odds. -105 odds at Fliff says this bet has a little under a 50% of chance of winning (the juice or vig typically makes a 50% bet around -110 or -115), but it’s an outlier in a market that is around -130, or above 50% odds of hitting.

Of course, there are no guarantees. Not every bet is going to win, but when we have a mathematical advantage through the odds then we will profit in the long run.

The Positive EV Tool simply points out value (e.g. large line discrepancies that create these advantages). It is constantly providing bets that will allow you to actually beat the sportsbooks long-term.

As a sharp sports bettor, I am constantly reading into what the markets are telling me and finding the best value. I take that knowledge and find the best possible price for this bet in the form of a line discrepancy.

If you want to try out this sharp betting software for yourself, give our seven-day free trial a go here.