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Best MLB Picks on ParlayPlay Today: 5-Pick Entry to Win $1,200

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

Happy Monday everyone! Hope you all had a good weekend cashing some slips. Let’s keep it rolling right into tonight’s action.

I’m at ParlayPlay for this entry. ParlayPlay is a fixed payout platform similar to PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy but has tons of unique opportunities for profitable bets. If you haven’t signed up yet, use promo code ‘ODDSJAM’ for a first deposit match up to $100.

Before we get into the pick, check out this video from one of our users about how he made insane profits using OddsJam as a college student.

Pick #1: Jesús Luzardo Under 6.5 Strikeouts

I found this play using the OddsJam Positive EV tool and there is certainly some clear value on this one.

Take a look at the screenshot above. All the sportsbooks have his under 6.5 heavily favored. DraftKings is at -155 while Caesars is all the way up at -161. This means the books think it’s far more likely that Luzardo strikes out under 6.5 than over 6.5.

Follow the data. Since we are on a fixed payout platform where the implied odds are -113 regardless of if we take the over or the under, the sharp play is to take the under, which is our first pick in this entry.

As a sharp sports bettor, I am constantly using every sportsbook as a data point. In this case, we see a way better price than the rest of the market, so we hit the under.

In order to be profitable long-term at ParlayPlay, you need to be winning your bets more than 53.2% of the time. That can be difficult to do, so it’s important to bet with an edge, like we are doing in this example, to surpass that winning threshold.

Pick #2: Shane McClanahan Under 5.5 Strikeouts

I found this play using the OddsJam Fantasy Optimizer.

This is another instance where the market is favoring the under for a strikeout prop. Both books there have the under in the -135 range, so we’re going to take advantage of the -113 implied odds on ParlayPlay.

We get -113 implied odds because that’s how the math breaks down to winning more than 53.2% of the time as I mentioned above. The Fantasy Optimizer makes it so simple to find bets like this. It automatically scans the market and finds them for you, then highlights them in green to easily identify to you which bets will have you profiting in the long term.

We may not cash every slip, but when you have an edge via math like we do here, we will win in the long run.

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