I’ve written a fair amount of articles about profitable sports betting strategy. However, I thought it’d be useful to have articles showing examples of profitable plays that I’ve found and bet with my own money. Let’s dive into some of the plays I found this morning….
PrizePicks: A Profitable Six Leg Parlay (Flex Play)
PrizePicks is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) company, so it’s “technically” not sports betting…
As seen in the screenshot above, PrizePicks has fixed payouts. If you get 6/6 picks correct in a Flex Play entry, then you get 25x your money. Thus, if you think about, PrizePicks is just a sportsbook that offers parlays with fixed odds.
You can see that PrizePicks has -119 implied odds on Flex Play entries. Thus, as a sharp, profitable sports bettor, we’re simply looking for value at -119 implied odds.
You can see that sportsbooks – the ‘sharper’ betting markets – have Anfernee Simons o3.5 Three Pointers at roughly -140 odds (on average). Long story short, we’re getting a lot of value on PrizePicks at -119 implied odds. This is the first pick I included in my PrizePicks Flex Play.
Next, I used the OddsJam NHL Screen to find value on PrizePicks. Check out the play below…
I was able to get Rasmus Dahlin u3 Shots on Goal(e.g. SOG) on PrizePicks. As seen in the screenshot above, Underdog Fantasy (a PrizePicks competitor) and every sportsbook has Dahlin’s over/under set at 2.5 SOG. Thus, being able to get u3 SOG is incredible value since we “push” as opposed to “lose” if Dahlin has exactly 3 shots on goal.
I’m also on Sam Bennett u3 Shots on Goal. I’m following the exact same strategy as the previous pick. We’re hunting for value (e.g. an “edge”).
Sports betting is not about getting “rich quick” – it’s about finding plays with enough value to beat the vig or juice. Sam Bennett u3 Shots on Goal is another play that clearly has value.
Here’s another play I’m on in my PrizePicks entry: Drake Batherson u3 Shots on Goal.
The Positive EV Tool compares lines that are set at the same level. In other words, this play on Drake Batherson u3 Shots on Goalwill NOT show up on the Positive EV Tool since PrizePicks has their line set at 3.0, but every sportsbook has his over/under set at 2.5 shots on goal.
The point of every tool on OddsJam is to help make data actionable. There’s millions of betting lines across sportsbooks – you can’t scan every odd on every sportsbook and find value. The OddsJam Screen and each tool (e.g. Middle Bets) are meant to be ‘pointers,’ showing you the rare, few betting opportunities that are actually profitable.
Anyways, here are the six picks I went with on PrizePicks. It’s a Six Pick Flex Play – we are betting $80 to win $2,000. All the hockey plays are from the OddsJam NHL Screen. The NBA pick on Anfernee Simons is from OddsJam Positive EV.
Anfernee Simons o3.5 Made Threes
Rasmus Dahlin u3 Shots on Goal
Tyler Toffoli u3 Shots on Goal
Bryan Rust o2 Shots on Goal
Sam Bennett u3 Shots on Goal
Drake Batherson u3 Shots on Goal
If you are curious about PrizePicks betting strategy, then the video above is pretty helpful. I go through the math behind PrizePicks and their payouts.
WynnBet: A College Football Bet
I say this all the time, but having multiple sportsbook accounts is critical. Since sportsbooks have different odds from one another, one book will not cut it… I recommend getting at least five.
Although our last play was on PrizePicks, here’s a profitable bet on WynnBet sportsbook. I hit u28 1H Total Points in Holy Cross vs. South Dakota State at +100 odds. This play was found on the OddsJam Positive EV Tool.
After seeing this play was available, I clicked into the odds on OddsJam to view the entire market.
As you can see in the screenshot above, most sportsbooks have the u27.5 1H Total Points favored. Thus, getting u28 1H Total Points at +100 is incredible value. My betslip is below.
Profitable NFL Bets: How to Find an “Edge”
The final play I went with is Giants +7 on WynnBet sportsbook. I got this play at +105 odds, and no other sportsbook is offering “plus” money.
My betslip is below. This is one of the biggest NFL bets I have open.