Sparks vs. Aces Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 23, 2022

OddsJam’s WNBA experts take you through the betting odds, picks and predictions for tonight’s matchup between the Los Angeles Sparks and the Las Vegas Aces.

Sparks vs. Aces Odds

Sparks vs. Aces Prediction

The OddsJam Perfect Line has the Aces winning this matchup with the Sparks with a confidence rate of 79.17%. The Sparks need some wins to secure a playoff spot… but they’ll probably need to wait until next week for a real shot.

Sparks vs. Aces Betting Preview

Both the Sparks and the Aces are hoping momentum is on their side.

Both teams are on a winning streak as they face each other for the fourth time this season on Saturday, July 23 at Las Vegas Aces home turf. The Aces have defeated the Los Angeles Sparks in each of the last three games, with a cumulative total of 272 to 221.

In some ways, this matchup will seem like a rerun: the Aces are heavy favorites to win. However, some distance has passed between their last matchup, and the Sparks have been playing better basketball, winning 5 of their 8 games in July.

Los Angeles Sparks

The Sparks have a unique playing style. 49.4% of their points are scored ‘in the paint,’ the highest in the league (compared to the Aces who have the lowest amount at 38.3%). Meanwhile, the Sparks have the lowest percentage of 3PTs scored at 21.5%. Play that is so close to the basket results in a wide range of scoring options, depending on how strong the opposing team’s defense is.

On paper, the Sparks are a much worse team than their record implies. They have the fourth worst offensive rating and second worst defensive rating in the league. But with 10 of their 12 wins being in ‘clutch’ games, they seem to have an elusive… spark… on the field. 

However, I wouldn’t use this as an opportunity to bet on the underdog: another way to think of this stat is that the Sparks tend to win by a little, or lose by a lot. 

Las Vegas Aces

The Aces win by out-scoring. No team has been able to hold the Aces to less than 71 points all season, with an average points per game of 90.7. With stronger defense, they would be unstoppable. However, if “Aces Opponents” was its own team, it would have the third highest PPG in the league, at 85.4.

The Aces have the fastest pace of play in the league, and have made more 3PT shots than any other team. This is part of the reason they are able to drop 90 points in 40 minutes, even against the stronger defenses in the league. 

Sparks vs. Aces Betting Pick: Over 173.5 | -110 at DraftKings

We already know that the Aces will score a lot. The Sparks defense is not equipped to handle the onslaught ahead of them. The real key will be if the Sparks can keep up. Granted, the Aces defense could use some work, which will help the scoring style of the Sparks.

Historically? This matchup has only broken 170 once in the last three games, so make sure to practice proper bankroll management if you take this pick. But this is a small sample size. On paper, both teams can expect a higher-than-average points total.