Friday Profitable PrizePicks Entry: WNBA and Esports Picks for July 7

Happy Friday! Let’s start the weekend off right with a PrizePicks entry to win $1,000.

As always, if you haven’t already signed up for PrizePicks, you can do so here with promo code ‘ODDSJAM’ and they’ll give you a deposit match up to $100!

Pick #1: Ariel Atkins Over 1.5 Made Threes

I found this play using the OddsJam Fantasy Optimizer and we are getting clear value on Atkins’ over.

Simply put, any pick from the Fantasy Screen in green is going to be mathematically profitable. The green implies that the 54.76% chance of this bet winning is higher than the winning threshold that we need to be hitting at PrizePicks.

To be profitable at PrizePicks, you need to be winning your bets 54.25% of the time. Any bet with a higher percent chance to win than that, like in our example above, is mathematically profitable.

PrizePicks knows that most sports bettors have zero “edge” (or advantage) – they’ll will win 50%, lose 50% of their player prop over/unders. Thus, recreational bettors with no edge will lose money on PrizePicks long-term, as they can’t win their player props above 54.25% of the time.

Take a look at how this line compares on FanDuel:

Atkins’ over is all the way at -128, and the under is +124. This creates an arbitrage line with the -119 we need to beat on PrizePicks to win 54.25% of the time, making it obvious that this is a profitable bet.

Full Slip