PrizePicks: 6 Sharp Player Prop Picks for Today on May 13!

In this betting preview, I’m going to discuss 6 sharp player props on PrizePicks. I’m staking $100 to win $2,500 if all six picks hit.

Pick #1: Malcolm Brogdon Under 0.5 Steals in Celtics vs 76ers

My first player prop is an NBA pick for Celtics vs 76ers. I’m on Malcolm Brogdon Under 0.5 Steals.

I found this NBA prop on the OddsJam PrizePicks Optimizer. As seen in the screenshot above, Brogdon under 0.5 Steals has a win rate of 55.06%.

PrizePicks is a fixed payout platform. To be profitable on this fantasy sports platform, we need to win above 54.25% of our player prop over/unders.

PrizePicks knows that most sports bettors have zero “edge” (or advantage) – they’ll will win 50%, lose 50% of their over/unders. Thus, recreational bettors with no edge will lose money on PrizePicks long-term, as they can’t win their player props above 54.25% of the time.

As seen in the screenshot above from the NBA Odds Screen, all sportsbooks have Brogdon’s under 0.5 steals as the heavily favored outcome (around -135 odds). Thus, according to sportsbooks, Brogdon’s under is a lot more likely than his over. That’s why this player prop picks is 55.06% to win.

Every betting tool on OddsJam is based in raw data – sportsbook odds. There’s no fluff, no B.S.

The Fantasy Optimizer uses sportsbook odds to determine the win probability for each player prop on PrizePicks. Then, this betting tool highlights all of the picks with win probabilities above 54.25% in green.

Pick #2: Roansy Contreras Under 4.5 Ks in Pirates vs Orioles

My second player prop pick is in the MLB. I’m on Roansy Contreras under 4.5 strikeouts, and I found this pick on the OddsJam Positive EV Tool (bet in bold/green = profitable). This MLB prop was also on the Fantasy Optimizer.

As seen in the screenshot above, all sportsbooks have his under 4.5 strikeouts as the heavily favored outcome. The average price on Contreras under 4.5 Ks is -142 odds. Thus, his under is a lot more likely than his over. This is exactly what we’re looking for on PrizePicks – spots where sportsbooks have an under (or over) heavily favored.

I’m staking $100 in a six pick flex play. I’m staking $100 for a payout of $2,500 if all six player props win. My six picks are:

1. Malcolm Brogdon Under 0.5 Steals
2. Jace Peterson Over 0.5 Total Bases
3. Roansy Contreras Under 4.5 Strikeouts
4. Nick Pratto Over 0.5 Total Bases
5. Matt Mervis Over 0.5 Total Bases
6. Matty Beniers Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (SOG)

I recommend the video below if you’re interested in learning more about profitable betting strategy on PrizePicks. This tutorial video breaks down the math behind PrizePicks and how to make money.