NFL Player Prop Risk-Free Profit: Arbitrage Opportunity on Emanuel Wilson

One of my favorite ways to make money every football season is through arbitrage betting, because if done properly it’s literally risk-free money.

Sportsbooks set odds independently. They all have different odds, and sometimes they make mistakes. Sometimes these mistakes are so big that you can bet on equal & opposite outcomes on 2 sportsbooks and make a risk-free profit. That’s arbitrage. You’re essentially day-trading mistakes on sportsbooks to make a risk-free profit.

Here’s an example of an arbitrage bet…

Bet #1: Emanuel Wilson Over 0.5 Touchdowns | +1400 at DraftKings

Bet #2: Emanuel Wilson Under 0.5 Touchdowns | -515 at Fliff

Here’s a major discrepancy between DraftKings and Fliff.

Arbitrage opportunities like this are extremely rare across the market considering how many odds are offered.

A tiny percentage of total markets have arbitrage opportunities, but the OddsJam Arbitrage tool can find all of them for you, and shows dozens of opportunities at any given time.

Take a look at the tool below for this example:

As you can see in the screenshot, DraftKings and Fliff are offering wildly different odds here.

DraftKings only offers a yes market on Wilson to score and does so at a whopping +1400. Fliff offers both a yes and a no, with the no being -515.

This sets up an arbitrage opportunity. It’s possible to make risk-free profit with the way these lines are priced.

I decided to place $250 at Fliff, and plugged that into the calculator icon on the tool next to the bet.

The calculator told me to place $19.90 on DraftKings, which makes a total stake of $269.90. Regardless of which side wins (if he scores or not) the return is $298.54, for a guaranteed profit of $28.64.

As long as he plays, it’s literally impossible for one of the bets to not win. He’s either going to find the end zone or he’s not.

Arbitrage is rare, but OddsJam is updating millions of odds every second to point out these risk-free money opportunities when books’ lines get super out of sync with one another.

If you want to learn more about profitable sports betting, then I recommend this strategy guide. It breaks down the top strategies for making money off the sportsbooks.