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The defending champs look to begin their title defense on Thursday, September 8 against the Bills.
Despite coming off the Super Bowl win, the Rams aren’t getting the love as Super Bowl favorites, at least according to the betting markets.
So, what do we think of their chances of going back-to-back? Well, let’s dive into the numbers.
As of the time of this writing, the betting markets give the Rams the fourth-best odds to win the Super Bowl in 2022 (+1100), with a clear gap between the top-two teams and where the Rams are positioned.
Just ahead of the Rams are the Chiefs (+1000), and just behind them are the Packers (+1200). The Bills (+650) and the Buccaneers (+750) are the teams with the best odds to win the Super Bowl.
In terms of coming out of the NFC and making the Super Bowl, the Rams are tied with the Packers with the second-best odds (+500). Again, there is a tier gap between them and the team with the best odds, which is, unsurprisingly, the Buccaneers (+340).
Even though they are coming off the Super Bowl victory, the Rams are accurately priced as a contender to win it all again, but not the favorite to do so.
It’s hard to take away a championship, considering how difficult they are to come by, but the Rams didn’t have the most impressive playoff run that we’ve ever seen.
They almost blew a 24 point lead thanks to four fumbles lost to the Buccaneers in the Divisional Round. In the NFC Championship game, they were one dropped interception away from 49ers safety Jaquiski Tartt from losing that one as well.
In the Super Bowl, the Rams were frustratingly passive on offense, opting to run the ball far more than they should have despite not having any success on the ground. The Rams won because their defensive line took over a beleaguered Bengals offensive line.
Regardless, they still won, and banners fly forever.
Heading into 2022, the Rams again have a talented roster, but one that is very top heavy. They are led by star players Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey, and Cooper Kupp. If one of those three players goes down, the Rams are in big trouble.
If they can stay healthy, though, then the Rams certainly will be in the mix for the Super Bowl once again in 2022.
The Rams 2022 win total is where things get interesting. FanDuel has their over/under set at 10.5, but at an even -110 odds each way. So, the betting markets aren’t favoring one side over another.
This makes sense to me, as you can make valid arguments for both the over and the under.
Those wanting to bet the over will point out that this is year two of the Matthew Stafford/Sean McVay relationship and that if anything the offense should only improve.
While they lost Odell Beckham Jr., they replaced him with Allen Robinson, who is primed for a bounce back year with the Rams. Of course, it should be mentioned that they still have Cooper Kupp, who had a historical season last year.
In only his first season with Stafford as his quarterback, Kupp had 145 receptions for 1,947 yards and 16 touchdowns. Just a ridiculous year from Kupp.
Defensively, the Rams might have the best defensive lineman and cornerback in the league in the previously mentioned Donald and Ramsey, and they also added linebacker Bobby Wagner as well.
Lastly, the Rams division should be easier than it was last year. The Seahawks are going to struggle without Russell Wilson, the 49ers certainly have potential but have a major question mark at QB in Trey Lance, and the Cardinals are looking like they could implode this year.
So, the once tough NFC West could realistically be a much less fearsome division than it was last year.
Of course, the under bettors have a good argument as well. While the division could be easier than initially thought, the Rams still have the second-hardest strength of schedule in the entire NFL.
Aside from their division schedule, the Rams play the Bills, Buccaneers, Cowboys, Chiefs, Packers, Broncos and Chargers. If you are just going off of Super Bowl odds, the Rams play eight of the top nine favorites to win the whole thing.
I mentioned this previously, but they are also more top-heavy than most teams in the NFL. They are going to need their stars to stay healthy, as they do not have the adequate depth to replace an injury to a key position.
Lastly, the Rams offensive line figures to take a step back. They lost two starters from their Super Bowl line in Andrew Whitworth and Austin Corbett.
In 2021 they finished with the seventh-best offensive line in the NFL, according to PFF, but have taken a step back heading into 2022.
Overall, predicting the Rams win total is a tough one, but forced to make a decision I would slightly lean towards the under.
I would say the most likely scenario is that they win exactly 10 games, which would (barely) hit the under.