The Giants enter the 2022 season without a lot of hope for the immediate future, but with a new head coach and general manager in town there is at least some hope that things might turn around in a couple years.
Gone are Dave Gettleman and Joe Judge, and in come Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll as general manager and head coach, respectively.
Still, even with the regime change, big blue figures to be in for another rough season.
2022 Giants NFL Betting Odds
Here is a fun fact: the last time the Giants even had a winning record was 2016. They went 11-5 that year, and have yet to be above .500 at any point in the five seasons that have since passed. Not even once in the past five years have the Giants even won their opening game.
For a once respectable franchise, they have fallen far. If we want to get a good laugh, we can talk about their Super Bowl odds.
The betting market lists the Giants as the ninth-worst team in the NFL, if you are going by those Super Bowl odds.
They are listed at +8500 odds to win the Super Bowl at FanDuel, one spot behind of the Commanders and Steelers (+7000) and one spot ahead of the Panthers and Lions (+10000).
In terms of coming out of the NFC, they are given the sixth-worst odds of making the Super Bowl, at +4400 odds. Once again, they are one spot behind the Commanders (+3000) and one spot ahead of Panthers (+5000).
Either way, spend your money elsewhere.
Even if you look at the NFC East odds specifically, there are still better ways to spend your money. Unsurprisingly, the betting market gives them the worst odds to win the NFC East at +700.
The Giants don’t have a division crown in mind, instead they would like to win more than six games, which is something they haven’t done since that same 2016 season.
2022 Giants Win Total Analysis
In terms of their win total for this upcoming season, they are currently listed at an over/under of 7.5. FanDuel heavily favors the under, pricing that at -145 odds and the over at +125.
While I do think the Giants will improve upon their four win campaign last year, I still can’t see them getting all the way to eight wins.
Here are the win totals of the Giants in the last five seasons: 3-13, 5-11, 4-12, 6-10, 4-13. The most wins they’ve had in that stretch is six, and they’ve only done that one time in those five years.
Daniel Jones is now on his third head coach in his fourth season in the NFL, but he has been dreadful so far. While I like Daboll as a coach in general, but I am not a believer in Daniel Jones.
Jones actually showed some promise his rookie year in 2019, throwing for over 3,000 yards along with 24 touchdowns. The one huge issue he had was turnovers, throwing 12 interceptions and fumbling 18 times (losing 11).
In the past two seasons, though, he has continued to turn the ball over but has not lived up to his year one promise. In the following two seasons, he could not surpass the 3,000 yard mark once and threw for a combined 21 touchdowns in 25 starts.
In 2021, the Giants had the worst offense in all of football. Overall, in three years Jones has a 12-25 record, and the Giants best offensive finish in those three years is the 10th worst offense in the NFL.
The guess here is that the Giants move on from Jones after this season, and then we get to see just how good of a coach Daboll is going to be. For 2022 specifically, he does not have much going for him.
So, for that reason, I am hammering this Giants under win total.