NFL Best Bets Week 3 Monday Night Football Commanders at Bengals

Monday Night Football is here again, and today we’ve got the Washington Commanders facing off against the Cincinnati Bengals. This game offers some intriguing betting opportunities, from spreads to player props.

In this article, I’ll give you key insights into the matchup, breaking down why certain bets are worth your attention. I’ll clearly list the best bets for this game, along with my reasoning for each, making it easy for you to follow and make informed decisions. Let’s get started!

1. Bengals -7.5 vs. Commanders

• Suggested Bet: Bengals -7.5
• Analysis:
  • The Bengals, despite their 0-2 start, have the better roster, led by Joe Burrow. Although Burrow has yet to hit his stride this season, this matchup against the Commanders’ struggling secondary is the perfect opportunity for a breakout. Washington’s defense has allowed quarterbacks like Baker Mayfield and Daniel Jones to post solid games, and Burrow has the weapons to exploit their weaknesses.
  • Washington’s offense has been inconsistent, particularly through the air, and Cincinnati’s defense has been decent in red zone situations, ranking in the top 10. This combination of factors leans toward the Bengals covering the spread.
  • Key Insight: The Bengals should control the game with their superior offense, and Washington’s defense won’t be able to keep up, making this a strong bet for Cincinnati to cover.

2. Under 47.5 Total Points

• Suggested Bet: Under 47.5 Total Points
• Analysis:
  • Both teams have struggled to put together consistently high-scoring games. Washington has yet to surpass 21 points in a game this season, and Cincinnati has only posted 25 points in one outing so far. While the Bengals have the firepower, they’ve been playing slower, ranking among the teams with the fewest offensive plays per game.
  • Washington, known for running a no-huddle offense, hasn’t been able to capitalize on the tempo to produce points. Given the Bengals’ solid defense and the Commanders’ inefficiency in the red zone, this game could stay under the total.
  • Key Insight: With both teams playing at a slower pace and Washington’s offense struggling to score, the under is a solid play here.

3. Jamar Chase Anytime TD (+120)

• Suggested Bet: Jamar Chase Anytime TD
• Analysis:
  • Jamar Chase has yet to find the end zone this season, but that changes tonight. Washington’s defense has allowed the most touchdowns to wide receivers so far, making this the perfect spot for Chase to break through. Despite a slow start, Chase is still commanding a high target share, and this game sets up nicely for him to get back on track.
  • Key Insight: Chase remains one of the most talented receivers in the league, and against a defense that struggles to defend wide receivers, he’s a top candidate to score in this game.

4. Joe Burrow Over 34.5 Pass Attempts

• Suggested Bet: Over 34.5 Pass Attempts
• Analysis:
  • Burrow hasn’t looked like his usual self through the first two weeks, but he’s still throwing the ball a lot. He had 36 pass attempts in Week 2, and with the Bengals looking to rebound from their 0-2 start, expect them to lean heavily on the passing game. The Commanders have struggled to stop the pass, and with Cincinnati’s offense looking to get back in rhythm, Burrow should easily clear 34.5 pass attempts.
  • Key Insight: Given Cincinnati’s passing tendencies and Washington’s struggles in coverage, this bet on Burrow’s passing volume is a solid play.

5. Terry McLaurin Over 4.5 Receptions

• Suggested Bet: Over 4.5 Receptions
• Analysis:
  • Terry McLaurin remains the top receiving option for Washington, and the Commanders will need him to step up if they want to stay competitive in this game. Cincinnati has been decent against the pass, but McLaurin will likely see a significant target share, especially if Washington falls behind and needs to pass more.
  • Key Insight: McLaurin’s role as the primary receiver and the potential game script of playing from behind should push him to at least 5 receptions in this matchup.

Recap of Best Bets:

• Bengals -7.5: Cincinnati’s talent and superior offense should lead them to cover the spread.
• Under 47.5 Points: Both teams’ slow pace and offensive struggles suggest a lower-scoring game.
• Jamar Chase Anytime TD (+120): Chase is due for a touchdown, and Washington’s defense has allowed plenty to wide receivers.
• Joe Burrow Over 34.5 Pass Attempts: Burrow should see plenty of passing opportunities against Washington’s weak secondary.
• Terry McLaurin Over 4.5 Receptions: McLaurin will be heavily involved, especially if Washington needs to throw to keep pace.

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