NFL Best Bets Week 2 TNF Bills at Dolphins

Tonight’s matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins promises to be an intense battle. Both teams are coming off big Week 1 victories and are looking to make an early statement in the AFC.

With plenty of star power on both sides, it’s a perfect game for player props and best bets. Below, we’ll dive into key insights and best bets for Thursday Night Football, highlighting why each play has value for this NFL slate.

Quick Overview:

• Game: Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
• Time: 8:20 PM ET
• Weather: Windy and potentially rainy conditions in Miami
• Injuries: Keep an eye on Dolphins RBs De’Von Achane (ankle) and Raheem Mostert (torso)

Best Bet #1: James Cook Anytime TD (+150)

Suggested Bet: James Cook Anytime TD Scorer at +150 on FanDuel

Analysis: James Cook enters this matchup as the primary back for the Bills. He’s shown promise as a dynamic playmaker, and the Dolphins defense struggled to contain the run in Week 1 against Jacksonville. Cook had 19 carries in his first game and looks to be solidified as the lead back.

Key reasons to like this bet:

• Miami’s Run Defense: The Dolphins allowed 127 rushing yards to Jacksonville in Week 1, with both Travis Etienne and Tank Bigsby finding success.
• Red Zone Role: Cook had three red-zone carries last week and could be heavily involved if the Bills can drive into scoring range.
• Volume: Cook is not part of a running back committee, and with the Bills favoring him, expect more opportunities tonight.

Best Bet #2: Tyreek Hill Under 99.5 Receiving Yards

Suggested Bet: Tyreek Hill Under 99.5 Receiving Yards

Analysis: Tyreek Hill is one of the most explosive receivers in the NFL, but tonight he faces a tough challenge. The weather conditions in Miami could make it difficult for Tua Tagovailoa to connect with Hill on deep passes, and Buffalo’s defense has done well to contain him in recent matchups.

Why this is a smart bet:

• Weather Impact: Rain and wind could limit Miami’s ability to throw deep, a key part of Hill’s game.
• Bills’ Past Success: Hill managed only 58 and 82 receiving yards in two games against the Bills last year.
• Miami’s Injuries: With both Achane and Mostert questionable, Buffalo may key in on Hill and limit his opportunities to break free.

Best Bet #3: Josh Allen Over 11.5 Rushing Yards (Longest Rush)

Suggested Bet: Josh Allen Over 11.5 for Longest Rush

Analysis: Josh Allen is known for his mobility and ability to make big plays with his legs when things break down. With Miami likely to apply pressure and the weather conditions being unpredictable, Allen could have plenty of chances to escape the pocket and break off a long run.

Reasons to back this bet:

• Previous Success vs. Miami: Allen had a 15-yard run against Miami in their last meeting.
• Scrambling Ability: In Week 1, Allen had 39 rushing yards on 9 attempts, showing that he’s willing to take off when the pocket collapses.
• Game Conditions: If the passing game becomes challenging due to weather, Allen might rely more on his legs.

Best Bet #4: Dolphins Moneyline

Suggested Bet: Dolphins Moneyline (-120)

Analysis: Miami comes into this game as slight home favorites, and while Buffalo has historically had the upper hand in this matchup, tonight could be different. With Tua and Tyreek Hill firing on all cylinders and the Dolphins’ defense capable of stepping up when needed, this is a good spot to back Miami at home.

Key insights:

• Buffalo’s Defense Struggles: In Week 1, the Bills allowed 28 points to Arizona, showcasing some vulnerability in their secondary.
• Offensive Weapons: Even with the running back situation in flux, Miami’s passing game is dangerous, and they should find ways to exploit Buffalo’s defense.
• Weather Factor: Home field advantage with weather conditions like rain and wind gives Miami an edge, especially with a high-powered offense that can adapt to quick passes.

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Good luck tonight!