NFL Best Bets Titans vs Dolphins Monday Night Football

Welcome back! Let’s dive into today’s NFL slate and discuss the best bets for each matchup. This slate features key showdowns and some intriguing player props, making it a perfect opportunity to maximize your betting potential.

We’ll break down each play, analyze the matchups, and give you insights on why these players and plays are top bets today.

1. Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins

• Game Line: Titans +1.5
• Total: 37

This Monday Night Football matchup features the Titans taking on the Dolphins. Both teams have had inconsistent starts to the season, but the key to this game is how well the Titans’ ground game can perform against Miami’s struggling run defense.

Suggested Bet: Titans +1.5
Analysis:

• The Dolphins’ run defense ranks 31st in DVOA against the run, allowing opponents to gain yardage easily on the ground.
• Titans RB Tony Pollard has shown he can make plays after contact, ranking ninth in yards after contact for RBs with 30+ carries this season.
• With Miami’s QB Tua Tagovailoa sidelined, the Dolphins will start Tyler Huntley, which creates uncertainty for their offensive production.
• The Titans’ game plan will likely involve a heavy dose of Pollard, giving them a strong chance to cover the spread or win outright.

Key Insight: The Dolphins have allowed over 100 rushing yards to RBs in each of their first three games. Expect the Titans to exploit this weakness with Pollard leading the way.

2. Player Prop 1: Tony Pollard Over 67.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Suggested Bet: Over 67.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Analysis:

• Pollard’s dual-threat ability makes him a focal point of the Titans’ offense. Even in a loss last week, he managed four targets and multiple rush attempts.
• With Miami’s defense allowing significant yards after contact, Pollard is primed to surpass this total with his versatility as both a runner and receiver.
• Miami’s defense has allowed multiple RBs to clear this line comfortably, making this a strong prop to consider.

Key Insight: Pollard has cleared this line in two of the three games this season where he received over 10 touches. He’s set to receive a high volume in this game, making the over a solid play.

3. Player Prop 2: Tony Pollard Over 12.5 Rush Attempts

Suggested Bet: Over 12.5 Rush Attempts
Analysis:

• Pollard has seen consistent usage in games where the Titans have been competitive. With Miami’s weak run defense, expect the Titans to control the clock and lean on their run game.
• The Dolphins have struggled against the run, allowing the eighth most rushing yards per game. This sets up Pollard to have a busy night.

Key Insight: Pollard had 16 and 17 rush attempts in games where the Titans were in close contests. With a tight spread, expect a similar workload here.

4. Player Prop 3: Devon Achane Over 87.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Suggested Bet: Over 87.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Analysis:

• Achane’s speed and explosiveness make him a dynamic threat against a Titans defense that has allowed some big plays on the ground.
• With Huntley at QB, expect Miami to lean on Achane to keep the offense balanced and relieve pressure off the passing game.
• Achane’s ability to break long runs and gain yardage in chunks gives him a high ceiling in this game.

Key Insight: Achane has shown he can handle a large workload, seeing 22 carries against Buffalo earlier in the season. Expect similar volume and efficiency against a Titans defense ranked 21st in rushing attempts allowed.

Final Thoughts

Today’s NFL slate offers some intriguing opportunities to capitalize on both the game line and player props. The Titans’ ability to control the clock with their run game, combined with Miami’s uncertain QB situation, makes them a solid play at +1.5. Additionally, Tony Pollard’s rushing props and Devon Achane’s yardage prop are worth considering based on the defensive matchups.

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Good luck on the slate, and may your bets cash!