New Orleans Saints 2024 Preview

The 2024 NFL season is on the horizon, and the New Orleans Saints are gearing up for what could be a pivotal year. After finishing 9-8 in 2023, the Saints are looking to build on their success while addressing some key areas of concern.

With Derek Carr returning under center and a defense that quietly excelled last season, the Saints have the potential to make noise in the NFC South. But how far can they really go?

Let’s break down what to expect from the Saints this season.

Key Insights and Team Overview

Offensive Outlook

The Saints’ offense in 2023 was a bit of a mixed bag. They were top 10 in scoring but didn’t impress in yards per game, third-down conversions, or red-zone efficiency. This means there’s plenty of room for growth, and the 2024 season could be where things finally click.

Derek Carr’s Performance: Carr had a solid 2023 with 25 touchdowns, only eight interceptions, and a passer rating close to 100. However, his performance was seen as steady rather than spectacular, which is what the Saints need to push further into the playoffs.
Wide Receiver Situation:
- Chris Olave: The clear-cut WR1 after an impressive 2023 campaign with over 1,100 yards and continued development as a deep threat.
- Michael Thomas Departure: Thomas played only 10 games last season, and his departure marks the end of an era. Cedric Wilson, who had a quiet 2023 with Miami, is expected to step into a more prominent role, though expectations should be tempered.
Tight End Play:
- Juwan Johnson: Injuries hampered his production in 2023, but he’s still a trusted option in the passing game.
- Taysom Hill: The ultimate Swiss Army knife, Hill’s versatility will continue to be a unique asset for the Saints’ offense.
Running Back Corps:
- Alvin Kamara: Despite his well-rounded performance with 75 catches and nearly 700 rushing yards, the ground game wasn’t as effective as it could have been. Kamara remains a focal point, but the Saints need to see more consistency.
- Jamaal Williams: Added to the mix, but didn’t contribute much in terms of touchdowns last year. His role could expand if the Saints need to shake up the backfield.
Offensive Line:
- Trevor Penning: The left tackle position remains a question mark. Penning, a first-round pick, allowed the second-highest pressure rate among left tackles, which is a concern. The Saints addressed this by drafting another left tackle, T Fuaga from Oregon State, who could push Penning for the starting role.
- Overall Stability: The O-line is better than average, with key players like Ryan Ramczyk anchoring the right side, but they need to tighten up, especially at left tackle and center.

Defensive Adjustments

The Saints’ defense was the backbone of their success in 2023, finishing in the top 10 in several key categories, including points allowed, takeaways, and third-down defense. However, there are areas that need improvement, particularly in the pass rush.

Secondary Strength:
- Elite Cornerback Play: The Saints’ secondary was outstanding, holding opposing quarterbacks to the second-lowest completion rate and the fifth-lowest passer rating. Players like Paulson Adebo and Marshon Lattimore are key to maintaining this level of play.
- New Additions: Drafting Koola McKinstry in the second round bolsters an already strong group, adding depth and potential for growth in coverage.
- Safety Play: Tyron Mathieu remains a leader in the secondary, but the departure of Marcus May leaves a gap. Jordan Howen filled in last year but didn’t quite measure up, making safety a position to watch in 2024.
Linebacker and Pass Rush:
- Demario Davis: Coming off another Pro Bowl year, Davis is the heart of the Saints’ linebacker corps. He, along with Pete Werner, will need to step up against the run, where the Saints allowed 4.4 yards per carry last year.
- Pass Rush Concerns: With Cameron Jordan‘s production dipping to just two sacks in 2023, the Saints made a splash by signing Chase Young, who could be the spark they need. Carl Granderson also emerged as a key player with 8.5 sacks, but overall, the team needs to improve their pressure on opposing quarterbacks.

Special Teams

Return Game: Rashid Shaheed was electric as a punt returner, earning All-Pro honors with over 13 yards per return. Expect him to continue making an impact in the field position battle.
Kicking Game: Rookie kicker Blake Grupe had a shaky debut season with seven missed field goals, including four from under 50 yards. He’ll need to improve to keep his job.

Season Outlook

The Saints are in a position to either solidify their status as a playoff contender or regress if key areas don’t improve. Here’s how their 2024 season could shake out:

Win Total Floor: 7 Wins
- Why? If the pass rush doesn’t improve and the offense continues to struggle in key situations like the red zone, the Saints could be looking at a step back.
- Key Concerns: Pressure on the quarterback, consistency in the running game, and the left tackle situation.
Win Total Ceiling: 10 Wins
- Why? If Derek Carr can elevate his play, Kamara can find consistency, and the pass rush clicks with the addition of Chase Young, the Saints could challenge for the NFC South title.
- Key Strengths: Elite secondary, steady linebacker play, and an improved pass rush.

Final Thoughts

The New Orleans Saints are at a crossroads. With a mix of veteran leadership and new talent, they have the potential to compete at a high level. However, the season’s success will hinge on improved offensive consistency and a revitalized pass rush. Whether they reach their ceiling or fall to their floor will largely depend on how these key areas develop throughout the season.

Key Points Recap

Derek Carr needs to elevate his game to push the Saints further.
Chris Olave is the clear WR1, but the offense lacks depth at receiver.
The offensive line, particularly at left tackle, is a concern.
The defense remains a strength, especially the secondary.
Adding Chase Young could significantly boost the pass rush.
The Saints’ season could swing anywhere from 7 to 10 wins, depending on how well they address their key weaknesses.

Buckle up, Saints fans—2024 could be a year of surprises!

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