Now, I have no idea how many times he’ll get to use it this season, but I do know how to take advantage of PrizePicks and Underdog having a major disagreement.
Underdog has listed his over/under for receiving touchdowns at 6.0, while PrizePicks is at 7.5. I took the over on Underdog, and the under on PrizePicks.
It’s literally impossible to lose both. Better yet, if he gets exactly seven touchdowns then I win both. Even if he gets six, I win the under on PrizePicks and push on Underdog.
A whole touchdown and a half is a HUGE difference, even over the course of a season.
No. 2: Tyler Lockett (5.0 Underdog / 6.5 PrizePicks)
Here’s another great example, but this one is even better. It’s still a 1.5 touchdown difference but with a lower total, the likelihood that the difference comes into play is higher.
Think about it. Even though both are only one point different, that point means way more for an over/under for a football game set at 42.5 than it does a basketball game set at 230.5. The less points (or touchdowns) expected, the more advantage you have with the differential.
Let’s hope Lockett gets exactly six touchdowns so both bets can cash.
No. 3: Calvin Ridley (5.0 Underdog / 6.5 PrizePicks
Not much new to add here, as Ridley has the exact same lines as Lockett. Hopefully he ends the season with six as well so I can hit the over on Underdog AND the under on PrizePicks.
No. 4: Brandon Aiyuk (4.5 Underdog / 6.0 PrizePicks)
This is the best one yet. We still have that 1.5 touchdown differential but at even lower totals. This means it’s very likely that Aiyuk ends up with either five or six touchdowns, both of which would bring our edge into play.
If he ends on five, we cash both bets with over 4.5 on Underdog and under 6.0 on PrizePicks. If he ends on six, we still win the over on Underdog and push on PrizePicks.
No. 5: George Pickens (3.5 Underdog / 4.5 PrizePicks)
This differential is only one touchdown, but it’s a low enough number where it can make a huge difference. If Pickens ends up with exactly four touchdowns we win the over on Underdog AND the under on PrizePicks.
Here’s a full video breakdown of why these bets are extremely profitable: