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Against the Spread Picks for Every NFL Game: ATS Predictions for Week 2, Including TNF Showdown Chargers vs. Chiefs

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

OddsJam’s football expert breaks down the NFL slate, giving his against-the-spread picks for every single game of football action! Find the top Week 2 odds, picks and predictions today below.

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Thursday Night Football

Chargers vs. Chiefs (-3.5)

Thursday, Sept. 15 | 8:20 p.m. ET

This is going to be an awesome game between two division rivals. Both teams surprised the league with how good they looked defensively last week, while the Chiefs offense was electric as ever.

The Chargers have played the Chiefs tough in all four games since Justin Herbert has been a Charger, with Herbert’s only two losses being in overtime. The guess here is that this is once again going to be a close game, that could come within a field goal.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the Chargers won outright, so I love getting a field goal here.

Chargers vs. Chiefs Pick: Chargers +3.5 | -108 at Tipico (Bet to +3)

Early Sunday NFL Slate

Dolphins vs. Ravens (-3.5)

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 1 p.m. ET

Both of these teams are coming off of impressive victories in Week 1, with the Dolphins looking a little more impressive considering they took down the Patriots while the Ravens beat up on the lowly Jets.

Tyreek Hill has a solid debut for the Dolphins, finishing with 94 yards on 8 catches. Tua Tagovailoa looked about the same as he has in his career, but the story was the Dolphins defense holding the Patriots to only 7 points.

This is another game I think ends up a field goal either way, so I’ll take the points with the Dolphins.

Dolphins vs. Ravens Pick: Dolphins +3.5 | -107 at PointsBet (Take to +3)

Jets vs. Browns (-6)

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 1 p.m. ET

While the Browns did get the victory over the Baker Mayfield-led Panthers, it wasn’t exactly an impressive win. They won on a last-second 58-yard field goal after blowing a 20-7 lead and allowing the Panthers to score 17 points in the fourth quarter.

The Jets didn’t exactly look impressive themselves, but I can’t in good conscience take the Browns to cover a touchdown here.

Jets vs. Browns Pick: Jets +6.5 | -115 at FanDuel

Commanders vs. Lions (-1.5)

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 1 p.m. ET

Sundays game for the ‘Manders was the perfect way to describe the Carson Wentz experience. He threw interceptions on two straight passes in the fourth quarter, then immediately led two straight touchdown drives to lead Washington to victory over the Jaguars. With that said, this was not an impressive victory for the Washington Football Commanders.

The Lions, meanwhile, bit enough kneecaps on their way to turning a 17-point deficit into a much more respectable 3-point loss to the Eagles.

The guess here is that the Lions won’t beat themselves the way the Jaguars did on Sunday, so I’ll lay the points and finally take a favorite to cover the spread.

Commanders vs. Lions Pick: Lions -1.5 | -110 at WynnBET (Bet to -2)

Colts (-4) vs. Jaguars

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 1 p.m. ET

Finally, a road favorite! This is an AFC South matchup between two teams that didn’t look ready for the regular season.

Both teams probably should have won, but shot themselves in the foot one too many times. The Jaguars got the L, while the Colts tied with the Texans.

What it comes down to, though, is that I trust the Colts to bounce back under Frank Reich, which is something they have done his entire tenure there. I don’t quite have the same faith in the Jaguars.

Colts vs. Jaguars Pick: Colts -4 | -110 at Caesars

Buccaneers (-3) vs. Saints

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 1 p.m. ET

In a weird stat, Tom Brady is 0-4 in the regular season against the Saints as a Buccaneer. Two of those times the Bucs didn’t even score a touchdown!

The Saints might just have Tampa Bay’s number, but I’m not quite buying that. The Bucs did defeat the Saints in the 2020 playoffs, by the way. Lost in the shuffle of the Saints’ comeback against the Falcons last week was the fact that they had to come back against the Falcons.

They won’t be so blessed this Sunday. Give me the Bucs in what I am projecting to be a lower-scoring game.

Buccaneers vs. Saints Pick: Buccaneers -3 | -105 at DraftKings

Panthers vs. Giants (-2.5)

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 1 p.m. ET

The Giants are favored to start 2-0? In this economy? I get the excitement over the Giants’ Week 1 victory over the Titans, but that was about as unimpressive as a victory can get.

They allowed 5 sacks, Daniel Jones turned it over twice without throwing for over 200 yards, and let’s not forget that they allowed the Titans to drive down the field in the last minute of the game. This was one of the rare games in which the team that lost had the better overall DVOA.

I’m not exactly a huge fan of the Panthers, either, but I’ll gladly take the points here.

Panthers vs. Giants Pick: Panthers +2.5 | +100 at PointsBet

Patriots (-1) vs. Steelers

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 1 p.m. ET

The Steelers are somehow 1-0 after playing in one of the weirdest games in memory. They barely won in overtime despite forcing the Bengals into 5 turnovers and turning one of those into a defensive touchdown. That means that the Steelers offense managed 16 points off the other 4 turnovers. Gross.

The Patriots, meanwhile, put up a pretty grotesque offensive performance themselves, while also dealing with a quarterback injury to Mac Jones. The Pats scored 7 points against the Dolphins, while putting up less than 275 yards and a measly 5 yards per play. Gross.

This figures to be another low-scoring game, but I’ll ride with Tomlin and the Steelers as home dogs.

Patriots vs. Steelers Pick: Steelers +1.5 | -110 at BetMGM (Bet to +1)

Late Sunday NFL Slate

Falcons vs. Rams (-10.5)

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 4:25 p.m. ET

Falcons head coach Arthur Smith has become the first official bet-against coach of this season. Congrats to him.

For those of you wondering, in 2020 the bet-against coaches were the legendary Matt Patricia, Bill O’Brien and Adam Gase. In 2021 they were Joe Judge and Urban Meyer. There is still time to add more to 2022, but I will gleefully add Smith to this list.

In Week 1, the Falcons blew a fourth-quarter lead in typical Falcons fashion, and Smith was snotty with the media in his post-game press conference. I’m sure his logic was that he was trying to light a fire under his team that everybody expects to be among the worst in the NFL, but in reality, he came across as a man with no answers.

Anyways, I’ll lay the points and count on the Rams to bounce back after their rough opening night loss.

Falcons vs. Rams Betting Pick: Rams -10.5 | -106 at FanDuel (Bet to -11)

Seahawks vs. 49ers (-9)

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 4:25 p.m. ET

Despite the Seahawks starting 1-0 with an impressive win over Russell Wilson and the Broncos, and the 49ers losing in disappointing fashion to the Bears as 6.5-point favorites, the oddsmakers still heavily favor the 49ers here.

Personally, I get it. That 49ers game can almost be thrown away because they were playing in a literal monsoon, while the Seahawks clearly played with a ton of energy due to Russell Wilson’s return to Seattle. In Week 2, it is likely that Seattle is unable to play with that same intensity and is due for a letdown, while the 49ers look better presumably playing in better weather.

Seahawks vs. 49ers Pick: 49ers -8.5 | -108 at FanDuel (Bet to -9.5)

Bengals (-7) vs. Cowboys

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 4:25 p.m. ET

The Cowboys were dealt a devastating blow in Week 1, with Dak Prescott breaking his hand and reportedly out for the next 6-8 weeks. What shouldn’t get lost in the news cycle, though, is that the Cowboys looked absolutely dreadful even before Prescott got hurt.

As previously mentioned, the Bengals turned the ball over an astonishing five times last week against the Steelers, and still probably would have won if their long snapper didn’t get hurt.

The Bengals aren’t shy about blowing up inferior competition as well, winning six games last year by double-digits. I’ll lay the points and count on Burrow bouncing back from his 4-interception performance.

Bengals vs. Cowboys Pick: Bengals -6.5 | -120 at FanDuel

Texans vs. Broncos (-9.5)

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 4:25 p.m. ET

Despite the Week 1 loss and one of the worst coaching decisions the world has ever seen, the Broncos are still favored to blow out the Texans. I get it, too.

Speaking of bad coaching decisions, Texans head coach Lovie Smith admitted to playing for the tie instead of trying to win when he punted from roughly midfield in overtime against the Colts. He was correctly mocked for this, as playing not to lose as opposed to playing to win is the exact opposite mindset a coach should have.

The Broncos only lost by 1 point last week despite 2 fumbles at the literal 1-yard line, so I’ll lay with the points and expect them to win big here now that Wilson has gotten his return to Seattle out of the way.

Texans vs. Broncos Pick: Broncos -9.5 | -110 at BetRivers (Bet to -10)

Cardinals vs. Raiders (-6)

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 4:25 p.m. ET

The Cardinals must have thought it was December with the performance they put up last week. After an offseason of turmoil surrounding yet another Cardinals late-season meltdown and a weird contract stipulation requiring quarterback Kyler Murray to watch film, the Cardinals laid an egg of epic proportions in Week 1.

The Raiders, meanwhile, have to be kicking themselves for losing a winnable game against the Chargers last week. They lost by five, but Carr threw 3 interceptions, including one in the end zone on an under-thrown deep-shot.

One of my favorite futures was an alternate win-total under for the Cardinals, and I’m certainly not backing down after what I watched last week.

Cardinals vs. Raiders Pick: Raiders -5.5 | -107 at PointsBet (Bet to -6)

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Sunday Night Football

Bears vs. Packers (-9.5)

Sunday, Sept. 18 | 8:20 p.m. ET

The Bears won as 6.5-point underdogs, while the Packers got thoroughly handled by their division rival Vikings, losing 7-23. And yet, the Packers are still 9.5-point favorites. I guess the oddsmakers still think that Rodgers owns the Bears and the city of Chicago …

I admittedly struggled with this one. While I certainly am not buying the Bears after a ridiculous, rain-soaked victory, I also don’t think the Packers will be able to bounce back after a rough Week 1 like they did last year.

What led me to laying the points with the Packers is the fact that they are home and that the weather was so bad last week that it is difficult to really take anything away from the Bears winning.

Bears vs. Packers Pick: Packers -9.5 | -112 at Tipico

Monday Night Football

Titans vs. Bills (-9.5)

Monday, Sept. 19 | 7:15 p.m. ET

This is a game in which you don’t want to overreact too much to how Week 1 went. The Bills looked great, blowing out the defending champs, while the Titans lost to the Giants.

With that said, the Bills were the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl for a reason, and the Titans were a team that a lot of people were down on for a reason as well. The Titans were also only 20th in DVOA last year, despite being the top seed in the AFC.

The Bills seem as though they are a team on a mission after the devastating way their season ended, and the Titans also beat the Bills last year. I’ll lay the massive spread and count on the Bills to stay hot.

Titans vs. Bills Pick: Bills -9.5 | -110 at FanDuel (Bet to -10)

Vikings vs. Eagles (-2.5)

Monday, Sept. 19 | 8:30 p.m. ET

I get why the Eagles are favored in their home opener against the Vikings, but I actually like the underdogs in this one. The reason the Eagles beat the Lions last week is because of Jalen Hurts’ running ability. He torched the Lions on the ground, but part of that was because of the Lions’ confounding defensive game plan that didn’t seem to take into account the fact that Hurts is a good running QB.

They blitzed with no contain, consistently leaving open running lanes for Hurts. The guess here is that a smart team like the Vikings won’t allow that to happen, and we have yet to see evidence that Hurts can in with his arm.

Oh, and the Eagles defense also got torched by Jared Goff. The guess here is that Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson are going to have monster games, so I’ll take the points with the Vikings.

Vikings vs. Eagles Pick: Vikings +2.5 | -105 at Tipico

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