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Mississippi Valley State vs. Prairie View A&M Prediction & Pick: Target the Total for Feb. 20 Showdown
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John Hyslop is here with his play of the day! Check out the total bet he’s locking in for Mississippi Valley State vs. Prairie View A&M on Feb. 20, 2023.
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Mississippi Valley State vs. Prairie View A&M Pick: Over 131 | -110 at DraftKings
We’re at DraftKings for this one since they seem to be lagging in changing this thing. FanDuel, Bally Bet, BetMGM and PointsBet have all adjusted to 131.5 (-110) so I’d expect DraftKings to follow suit at some point.
If we’re being honest (we are), I think the line ends up near 133 at some places. Circa Sports is already posting 132 (-113) so there is that.
I’m a price guy — everyone knows that — but this thing makes perfect sense basketball-wise as well. Not that we need it to but it does make you feel good to know you have a banger in your pending wagers just waiting to start.
It just feels right. There’s just something about gambling all day knowing that you’ve got an ace up your sleeve that doesn’t even start until 9 p.m. ET.
It almost doesn’t even matter what happens until then. Almost.
Totals are about offense, defense and pace. When it comes to pace, we’re good. Mississippi Valley State is flying up and down the floor at almost 73 possessions per game over their last three games.
Their offense sucks, but it’s been way better over the last three games (.859 on the season vs. .944 L3). Plus, their defense sucks so at the end of the day, we’ve got the trifecta for an over in the 130s on this side.
They aren’t a team we need to worry about when it comes to points.
As for Prairie View A&M, they go fast enough at 71 possessions per game at home this season. Their offense is terrible but like Mississippi Valley State, it’s getting better.
We’re talking about a .92 team on the season that has transformed into a 1.018 team over the last three contests. That’s not quite Jekyll/Hyde, but it’s not bad either.
Couple all of this with a defense that has a 102.9 adjusted rating, according to KenPom, and we’re looking at an over squad if the total is in the low 130s.
This feels like the greatest play of all time. Maybe even better.
