Dozens of Sharp Player Prop Picks for Tonight on Wednesday, May 3

As sharp sports bettors, we’re always hunting for an “edge.” Today, a new fantasy sports platform called No House Advantage (NHA) has an insanely profitable promo. They’re boosting 5 pick entries from a 21x payout to a 30x payout. This promo lasts until 3 pm EST.

A 30x payout is crazy for 5 pick entries. Underdog Fantasy has just a 20x payout for 5 pick entries…

The math behind this No House Advantage betting promo is in this Google Spreadsheet. Essentially, with this promo, you only need to win 50.65% of your player props to be profitable. We’re staking $10 to win $300, so you only need to win 1/30 entries to “breakeven.” Thus, you only need to win 50.65% of your player prop picks to “breakeven” with this promotion (1/30 = y^5, y = 50.65%).

If you have questions about the sports betting math behind this promo, feel free to email me – [email protected]. I’m always happy to answer any questions about sharp, profitable sports betting strategies.

No House Advantage Pick #1: Jack Eichel Under 3.5 SOG in Oilers vs Golden Knights

My first sharp player prop bet on No House Advantage is Jack Eichel under 3.5 SOG. Again, to find profitable picks for this sportsbook promotion, we’re simply looking for player props that are winning above 50.65% of the time.

We can bet on the NBA, PGA, NHL, MLB, Tennis or any other sport/league – it doesn’t matter at all… No House Advantage is a fixed payout platform. With this promo, any 5 pick entry will have a 30x payout. We’re just looking for value in the market. I don’t care if I’m betting on the NHL or MLB or NBA – I just want to make money.

My first player prop is in the NHL, and I found it on the OddsJam Positive EV Betting Tool. Eichel’s under 3.5 SOG is heavily favored on all sportsbooks. As sharp bettors, we treat each sportsbook as a data point on where the line should be set. Every sportsbook is saying the exact same thing – Eichel’s under is a lot more likely than his over. Just look at the odds on sportsbooks:

1. FanDuel -168 odds
2. Bet365 -175 odds
3. DraftKings -155 odds
4. Fliff -175 odds

Since books set lines independently, we essentially have dozens of data points. They’re all telling us that Eichel’s under is a heavy favorite, so this is a profitable pick to go with on No House Advantage.

According to the sportsbooks, Eichel is 58.25% to go under 3.5 SOG, as seen in the screenshot above from the OddsJam Fantasy Screen. There’s no magic going on here… If Eichel was -200 odds to go under, then his under would be a 2:1 favorite (e.g. 66.67% to occur). That’s what -200 odds means, a 2:1 betting favorite or 2/3 to win.

When using the Fantasy Screen for this sportsbook promotion, you just want to pick the player props on No House Advantage that have win rates above 50.65%. This is rational, data-driven sports betting – we’re hunting for an “edge” in the sports betting market.

The Fantasy Screen reads in 1,000,000+ betting lines every second to find the player props with the highest win rates according to sportsbook odds. This betting tool works for PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy, ParlayPlay, No House Advantage, Thrive Fantasy, etc. There’s a ton of fixed payout fantasy sports platforms; No House Advantage is just one of many.

I’m going to have dozens of player prop picks on No House Advantage today, but my first 5 pick entry is above. This promo has a maximum bet size of $10, so I’m staking $10 to win $300.

No House Advantage Pick #3: Jayson Tatum Under 14.5 R+A in Celtics vs 76ers

My second player prop pick on No House Advantage is in the NBA. I’m on Jayson Tatum under 14.5 Rebounds + Assists. I found this play on the OddsJam NBA Screen.

As seen in the screenshot above, No House Advantage is the only platform with Tatum’s line @ 14.5 Rebounds + Assists. PrizePicks & Underdog Fantasy have Tatum’s line @ 14.0 R+A, and all of the sportsbooks have Tatum’s line @ 13.5.

No House Advantage is too high relative to the rest of the market. Thus, as sharp bettors, we want to follow the data & take the under for Tatum.

This is exactly how you make money sports betting. You take advantage of profitable promotions on sportsbooks & hunt for value in the market. It’s not sexy, and it’s not a “get rich quick scheme.” This is just how you actually make money sports betting long-term. It requires time & a lot of work, but you can absolutely do it.

Anyways, as promised, I have dozens of player prop picks for tonight on No House Advantage. A variety of my betslips are below. Again, for this promo, No House Advantage has a maximum bet size of $10 per entry. You can create as many entries as you want. Nearly all of my sharp player prop picks are from the OddsJam Fantasy Screen.