Up first on tonights ESPN NBA game is the flaming hot Boston Celtics vs the reeling but still in 1st place Miami Heat. This game is being played in Boston, on March 30th at 7:30PM ET at the TD Garden.
To the surprise of exactly nobody, the Celtics are favored here. Being the home team and also on a prolonged hot streak, the Celtics find themselves favored by 5 points over a Miami Heat team that is holding 1st place in the East by a half game over the Milwaukee Bucks, and one game over these Celtics.
On December 30st, 2021 the Celtics were sitting in the middle of the east with a disappointing 16-19 record. There was some intra-squad bickering, and the players didn’t seem to have meshed well with new head coach Ime Udoka.
Then, on New Years Eve, they beat the Phoenix Suns by 15 and haven’t cooled down since. Including that game, they have a 31-10 record in that span. They also have the best net rating in the entire NBA and the best defense in the NBA since 12/31/2021.
Not only are they winning, but they are absolutely destroying teams too. They have a point differential of +12 in that span, which of course is tops in the NBA, and also almost 3 full points higher than the 2nd team. Simply put: the Celtics are riding a heater for 3 months now and don’t seem to show any signs of slowing down.
The Heat, meanwhile, have been in 1st place in the Eastern Conference for the majority of the season, but are struggling as of late. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games, with some gross losses in there as well. In those 10 games they’ve lost to the 76ers without Embiid or Harden, the Warriors without Curry, the Knicks, and were blown out by the Nets.
They finally caught a break, beating the Kings by 23 points in their most recent game. Of course, blowing out the lowly Kings without De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis doesn’t exactly inspire much confidence. Especially when you take into account the in-game fight that went down between Jimmy Butler and head coach Eric Spoelstra and Heat legend Udonis Haslem in the Warriors game.
The Celtics will be without Robert Williams aka “timelord” for the next 4-6 weeks with a knee injury, which definitely hurts them in the long run but shouldn’t be a huge factor in the outcome of this game specifically. Aside from timelord, there are no other players currently listed out on the injury report.
The Celtics rested the majority of their starters in their most recent game, which was against the Raptors, and still almost pulled that game out.
Looking at this game, I see no reason not to continue to back the Celtics. They are 2-0 against the Heat this season, and I expect that to be 3-0 after tonights game. Give me the Celtics to win and cover the point spread at home tonight.
I bet this on WynnBet at -4.5. I love this play because every other book has the Celtics at either -5 or -5.5. So, getting them at the number we did is a play that is beating the closing line.
The screenshot above is from the OddsJam odds page, and shows the value of line shopping.
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Pick:
My betting pick for this Celtics/Heat game is to take the Celtics -4.5. I bet this at -110 odds on WynnBET Sportsbook.
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction:
My prediction for this game is that the Boston Celtics will win 112-100.