Best Positive EV Pick Today: A Lonnie Walker Total for Tonight’s Lakers-Warriors Matchup

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Lakers vs. Warriors Positive EV Pick: Lonnie Walker Under 1.5 3s | -139 at Caesars

10 p.m. ET

For this pick, we’re looking at the recently resurged Lonnie Walker, who dropped 15 points in the fourth quarter in Game 4 to put the Warriors on elimination watch. Despite his clutch performance, he still only hit one three-pointer, which would cash our under here.

Despite two strong home outings, Walker just isn’t the type of player who has proven to be a reliable shot-maker in these playoffs, especially on the road. He’s been a complete non-factor throughout the beginning of this series, only hitting two 3s in one game overall.

It’s also worth noting that role players like Walker generally play much better on their home court. Playing in San Francisco is always a tough assignment too, so I’ll be looking for Walker’s crazy run to chill out a bit.

Beyond any basketball analysis, this play has incredible value from our Positive EV page.

We are beating the average odds by a considerable margin and the three other big sportsbooks in my area are offering this bet for a significantly higher price than -139.

To break this down even further, I used our implied odds calculator to better show why we are betting with an edge with this prop. The average odds (-167) has almost a 63% chance of hitting, yet we are betting on it with much lower odds (58%) at -139.

This means that instead of risking $167 for every $100 we want to win, we only have to lay $139. At those odds, our bet has a much higher percentage of winning than the risk we are putting down.

Consistently betting on Positive EV bets like this one is crucial to sustaining long-term success sports betting. If you have any questions or want to inquire about getting your hands on software like this, please book a call with one of our betting experts.