We are back again with another “Best Bet”. This series has been performing great, while cashing 8 of our last 11 tickets! (73%) Today we will target a play that caught my eye immediately, and for good reason. Let’s dive in.
This game features a battle of banged up teams. The White Sox are missing Tim Anderson and Eloy Jimenez, while the Rays are missing Wander Franco and Brandon Lowe. All four of these players are crucial to their offenses, however Chicago has more depth to make up for it in my opinion. Chicago has been slumping, and on a 4 game losing streak. The Rays have managed to win 3 straight after a hard fought series in Texas.
Over the past four games, Tampa is averaging 6.5 Hits Per Game. In that same span, Chicago is averaging 9.75 Hits Per Game. To put this into perspective, an average of 9.75 Hits Per Game would lead the MLB if held all season. To produce this much contact and somehow lose four in a row seems a bit “unlucky”. It’s the perfect game for the law of averages to kick in with stud pitcher Dylan Cease on the mound who gets an amazing matchup. His 33% K rate should do some damage this afternoon with Tampa striking out at a 27% clip vs. RHP, which ranks 3rd worst in the league.
Cease has had some rough outings, but overall looks great. He has allowed 1 earned run or less in 6/9 starts this season. (67%) I expect him to breeze through Tampa the first time down the order which should give Chicago a head start to get him some run support. The Tampa Bay pitcher, Drew Rasmussen is beginning to see a slump. Drew has allowed 8 Earned Runs over his last 8 innings pitched. Getting the +0.5 with not too much juice is too good of a play to pass up here. If the score is tied after five, we still win.
If Chicago scores first, we have a lot of edge. Cease should hold Tampa from putting the ball in play often, and the WhiteSox bats are signaling a heat-up.
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