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Underdog Fantasy Value: 3 Picks for Tuesday May 16th
AP Photos
3 Picks coming at you from the OddsJam Fantasy Optimizer. No time to waste, here they are:
Pick #1: Bailey Ober Over 4.5 Strikeouts
I wish there was more to talk about…it is pretty simple: You need to find legs that win at least 55% of the time to be profitable on Underdog. Right here on the fantasy screen, you see two great picks, both of which are above 55%.
Starting with Bailey Ober over 4.5 strikeouts, the market disagrees with Underdog’s price: DraftKings thinks the fair line for over 4.5 Ks should be -150. Caesars thinks the fair line should be even lower, at -158. On Underdog, you get implied odds of -122 if you are placing three or five-leg bets. If you don’t understand why, take a moment to watch this video, you will make more money if you understand this, trust me:
We can validate this by going over to the OddsJam Positive EV tool, where you can again see how much more heavily favored other books have Ober over 4.5 Ks: Caesars at -158, DraftKings at -150, Fliff at -170, Pin at -147.
Pick #2: Wade Miley Under 3.5 Strikeouts
We have a similar story for Wade Miley Under 3.5 Strikeouts: Caesars thinks -149 is fair, Draftkings thinks -145 is fair. We are getting -122. I want you to give this a try yourself. Check out the Fantasy Optimizer for a week, hell even a day, and you will be hooked. We offer a 7-day free trial, so there is no risk to test it out yourself. It is as simple as it seems: if a bet is in green, hit it. Click anywhere in this paragraph to get started!
I added Spencer Steer Under 1.5 Total Bases from the Positive EV tool to complete my slip!
