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MLB

Sharp MLB Picks for Wednesday – Giants vs Astros Odds, Best Bets & Predictions

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

There’s 16 MLB games on on Wednesday, May 3. That’s a full slate…

In this betting preview, I’ll be running through two early picks for the Giants vs Astros game. First pitch is set for 2:10 pm EST. Logan Webb is set to take the mound for the San Francisco Giants, and Framber Valdez will pitch for the Astros.

The Astros enter this game with a 16-14 record. The Giants sit below 0.500 with a 12-17 record on the season.

Astros vs Giants Picks, Predictions: Giants Moneyline @ +160 Odds on Fliff Sportsbook

My first pick for this game on 5/3 is the Giants moneyline at +160 odds on Fliff sportsbook. Fliff is a relatively new 18+ sportsbook that is available in practically every U.S. state. I made this YouTube tutorial video about how to use Fliff.

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Anyways, there’s a simple benefit to having multiple sportsbooks. That benefit is line shopping. Sportsbooks have different odds from one another, so it’s always beneficial to have get sportsbook accounts. More = merrier in sports betting. More sportsbooks = more profitable betting opportunities = more money in your pocket. You never know which sportsbook is going to “slip up” and offer profitable bets on a given day.

Regardless, Fliff is the sportsbook that is screwing up today… As seen in the image below from OddsJam Positive EV, nearly all sportsbooks are pricing the Giants moneyline around +150 odds. Fliff, however, is offering the Giants at +160. That’s clear value!

MLB Odds

All the OddsJam Positive EV Tool shows you is value. There’s no fluff, no B.S. OddsJam is updating 1,000,000+ odds every second to point out the most profitable picks and biggest line discrepancies. It’s easy to use OddsJam Positive EV – you simply place the bet in bold & highlighted in green (e.g. Giants ML @ +160 on Fliff). This Positive EV tutorial article breaks down how to use the OddsJam betting tools, step by step.

As always, I put my money where my mouth is. I locked in the Giants moneyline @ +160 odds for $135. My betslip from Fliff sportsbook is below. I’m staking $135 for a total payout of $351 if the Giants win on Wednesday.

Fliff Sportsbook MLB Picks

Astros vs Giants Best Bets: Over 8.5 Runs at +145 Odds on Fliff Sportsbook

My second MLB bet for Astros vs Giants is also on Fliff sportsbook. Again, I’ve been able to find a myriad of profitable (e.g. Positive EV) bets on Fliff, so I highly recommend signing up for this sportsbook if you have access to it.

I found this second pick on the Positive EV Tool as well. Here, Fliff is offering way too much value on the over 8.5 Total Runs, as seen in the screenshot below. The average odds on the over 8.5 total runs is +129, and we’re getting +145 on Fliff.

Positive EV Tool

Value is all that matters long-term as a sharp bettor. Investors & day traders look for value in the market all day long, and, as a sharp bettor, it’s no different. You’re hunting through sportsbook odds & looking for large line discrepancies. It’s not sexy, but that’s how you get an edge in sports betting and win long-term.

Fliff Parlay Picks for May 3

I paired over 8.5 in Giants vs Astros with another pick from the Positive EV Tool. I’m also on the Red Sox under 4.5 Team Total runs at -120 odds.

Many new sports bettors think that it’s “impossible” to make money betting on parlays. That couldn’t be further from the truth… The truth is that 99.9% of sports bettors can’t even beat the books long-term betting on straight bets. If you can’t make money on straight bets, then you surely can’t beat the books long-term betting on parlays.

However, parlay betting is relatively simple. This parlay tutorial video explains how parlay odds work & how to win long-term betting on parlays. Long story short, if every bet in your parlay is Positive EV (e.g. profitable), then your parlay will be profitable. That’s about all there is to it… If you know how to find profitable straight bets, then you know how to find profitable parlay picks as well.

Pikkit Sports Bet Tracker

My parlay results for 2023 can be seen in the picture above from Pikkit sports. Pikkit is a company that has a verified bet tracker. Basically, you sync your sportsbook accounts with Pikkit, and they’ll tell you profit & loss by sportsbook, bet type, league, etc. In 2023, I’m up $41,089.38 betting on parlays with a 26.14% ROI. My win loss record is 87-430-63.

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Bonus Bets in Ohio

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