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He had his fair share of struggles, but he flashed signs of why he was so highly regarded. While he had a 5.31 ERA, he managed over a strikeout per inning and pitched some gems vs. the Red Sox, Marlins, and Braves.
Now In his second season, he has shown some solid strides. He has a 3.95 ERA and has increased his strikeouts per inning to 1.07. Oddly enough, he has been one of those pitchers far more comfortable and effective on the road rather than at home.
His 5.91 home ERA shifts to 1.89 on the road. Day games seem to be his preference as well as he has a 0.84 ERA in 4 starts during day games. He has had 6 or more K in 3 straight road starts.
Gray currently sits in the 66th percentile in K rate, 68th percentile of whiff rate, and 62nd percentile in K per inning. He relies on his dominant slider against righties and a great curveball vs lefties.
The Rangers have been a solid matchup all year vs right-handed pitchers. They have the 9th worst K rate vs righties for the season and last 30 days. They average the 11th most K per game at 8.55. They have a 23.8% K rate during day games.
The Rangers are very aggressive with their bats. They swing at the highest percentage of pitches that are in the zone and are bottom 3 in contact % on those swings.
Gray can have some troubles with control, but I see him benefitting often from getting ahead early in counts vs a free-swinging Rangers team and like him to get 6+ K this afternoon.
Pick: Josiah Gray over 5.5 strikeouts | -118 at Fanduel Sportsbook
