MLB Top Stacks 6/27/24

Today’s MLB slate features several matchups with great stacking opportunities. In this article, we’ll highlight the top 3 DFS stacks and 2 under-the-radar stacks for today’s games. We’ll break down the matchups, provide key insights, and explain why each stack is a top play.

Top 3 DFS Stacks

1. Atlanta Braves vs. Chad Kuhl (Chicago White Sox)

Key Insights:

• Chad Kuhl’s Struggles: Kuhl has an xERA of 5.03 and a high home run rate against right-handed hitters. His 16% walk rate against righties also suggests control issues.
• Braves’ Offensive Power: The Braves have a potent lineup with hitters like Matt Olson and Ronald Acuña Jr., both of whom excel against right-handed pitching. Olson’s ISO of .292 and Acuña’s ability to get on base make them prime candidates for DFS stacks.
• Ballpark Factors: Guaranteed Rate Field is known for being hitter-friendly, which further boosts the Braves’ offensive potential.

Why This Stack Works:

• The combination of Kuhl’s struggles and the Braves’ powerful lineup makes this a top stack. Look for high run-scoring potential and multiple extra-base hits.

2. Philadelphia Phillies vs. Trevor Rogers (Miami Marlins)

Key Insights:

• Rogers’ Inconsistency: Trevor Rogers has an xERA of 5.06 and a 9% walk rate, struggling particularly against right-handed hitters.
• Phillies’ Key Hitters: Bryce Harper and Trea Turner lead the Phillies’ offense, both showing strong splits against left-handed pitching. Harper’s xwOBA against lefties is impressive, and Turner provides speed and contact ability.
• Team Context: The Phillies have a well-rounded lineup that can capitalize on Rogers’ mistakes, especially in a hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park.

Why This Stack Works:

• Stacking the Phillies against a struggling lefty like Rogers can yield high DFS points, given their power and ability to score in bunches.

3. New York Yankees vs. Jose Berrios (Toronto Blue Jays)

Key Insights:

• Berrios’ Vulnerability: Jose Berrios has an xERA of 4.74 and an xwOBA of .342 against right-handed hitters. His tendency to give up hard contact is concerning.
• Yankees’ Power Hitters: Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are the key players to focus on. Judge’s xHR rate of 0.46 and Stanton’s ability to hit for power make them ideal for stacking.
• Ballpark Dynamics: Rogers Centre is favorable for hitters, and the Yankees’ lineup can exploit Berrios’ weaknesses.

Why This Stack Works:

• With Berrios’ struggles and the Yankees’ power hitters, this stack offers a high ceiling for DFS points, especially with Judge and Stanton leading the charge.

Under-the-Radar Stacks

1. Arizona Diamondbacks vs. David Festa (Minnesota Twins)

Key Insights:

• Festa’s Inexperience: David Festa is relatively unproven at the major league level, presenting an opportunity for the Diamondbacks to exploit.
• Diamondbacks’ Lineup: Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte are key hitters to focus on. Carroll’s ability to get on base and Marte’s power against righties can drive the offense.
• Matchup Potential: The Twins’ bullpen has also shown vulnerabilities, adding to the Diamondbacks’ stacking appeal.

Why This Stack Works:

• Festa’s inexperience and the Diamondbacks’ balanced lineup make this an attractive under-the-radar stack. Carroll and Marte can be the catalysts for a big scoring day.

2. Cleveland Guardians vs. Michael Wacha (Kansas City Royals)

Key Insights:

• Wacha’s Struggles: Michael Wacha has an xERA of 3.57, but he has shown vulnerability to left-handed hitters.
• Guardians’ Key Hitters: José Ramírez and Josh Naylor are the focal points. Ramírez’s xwOBA and Naylor’s power numbers against right-handed pitchers make them strong plays.
• Team Dynamics: The Guardians have a disciplined lineup that can wear down Wacha and the Royals’ bullpen.

Why This Stack Works:

• Stacking the Guardians against Wacha offers potential for high DFS returns. Ramírez and Naylor’s ability to drive in runs makes this stack appealing.

By focusing on these top stacks and under-the-radar plays, you can optimize your MLB DFS lineups for today’s slate. Each stack has a favorable matchup and the statistical backing to make a significant impact. Good luck with your lineups!