MLB Top Stacks 6/12/24

Welcome to today’s breakdown of the top MLB DFS stacks. We’re diving deep into the matchups to identify the best offensive stacks to target, along with a couple of under-the-radar plays that can provide significant value. Let’s get into it.

Top MLB DFS Stacks

1. Philadelphia Phillies vs. Nick Pivetta (Boston Red Sox)

• Key Insights:
  • Phillies’ Power: The Phillies lineup boasts significant power against right-handed pitching. Key hitters like Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and Alec Bohm have shown strong ISO and xwOBA numbers, making them prime targets.
  • Nick Pivetta’s Struggles: Pivetta has given up a .260 ISO to left-handed batters and .147 ISO to right-handed batters this season. His high strikeout rate is offset by his propensity to give up home runs and extra-base hits.
  • Hitter-Friendly Environment: Fenway Park is a favorable environment for hitters, which should boost the Phillies’ power potential.
• Suggested Players:
  • Kyle Schwarber (OF)
  • Bryce Harper (1B)
  • Alec Bohm (3B)
  • Nick Castellanos (OF)

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2. St. Louis Cardinals vs. Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates)

• Key Insights:
  • Cardinals’ Right-Handed Power: The Cardinals have several right-handed hitters who can exploit Falter’s weaknesses. Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado are particularly potent against left-handed pitching.
  • Falter’s Vulnerability: Falter has a .258 ISO against left-handed batters and a .181 ISO against right-handed batters. His lower strikeout rate and higher walk rate can lead to big innings for opposing offenses.
  • Hot and Humid Conditions: The warm, humid conditions in St. Louis can help balls carry, enhancing the power potential of the Cardinals’ hitters.
• Suggested Players:
  • Paul Goldschmidt (1B)
  • Nolan Arenado (3B)
  • Brendan Donovan (OF)
  • Ivan Herrera (C)

3. Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Jon Gray (Texas Rangers)

• Key Insights:
  • Dodgers’ Balanced Attack: The Dodgers have a balanced lineup with power hitters like Mookie Betts, Shohei Ohtani, and Freddie Freeman. They can exploit both right and left-handed pitching effectively.
  • Gray’s Challenges: Jon Gray has a higher walk rate against lefties and gives up a .159 ISO to left-handed batters. His strikeout rates are solid, but the Dodgers’ patient approach can lead to high pitch counts and early bullpen exposure.
  • Home Field Advantage: Dodger Stadium is known for its neutral to slightly hitter-friendly dimensions, and the Dodgers have performed well at home.
• Suggested Players:
  • Mookie Betts (SS)
  • Shohei Ohtani (1B/OF)
  • Freddie Freeman (1B)
  • Will Smith (C)

Under-the-Radar Stacks

1. Miami Marlins vs. David Peterson (New York Mets)

• Key Insights:
  • Marlins’ Right-Handed Hitters: The Marlins have several right-handed hitters like Bryan De La Cruz and Josh Bell who can take advantage of Peterson’s struggles against righties, evidenced by his .163 ISO allowed.
  • Peterson’s Control Issues: Peterson has a higher walk rate against right-handed batters, which can lead to run-scoring opportunities and big innings for the Marlins.
  • Potential for High-Scoring Game: Citi Field is not typically a hitter-friendly park, but the Marlins can capitalize on Peterson’s inconsistencies.
• Suggested Players:
  • Bryan De La Cruz (OF)
  • Josh Bell (1B)
  • Jake Burger (1B/3B)
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. (OF)

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2. Kansas City Royals vs. Cody Poteet (New York Yankees)

• Key Insights:
  • Royals’ Balanced Lineup: The Royals have a mix of left and right-handed hitters like Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino who can exploit Poteet’s weaknesses. Poteet has a higher ISO allowed to right-handed batters.
  • Poteet’s Struggles: Poteet’s low strikeout rate against lefties and righties makes him vulnerable to contact-heavy lineups like the Royals.
  • Hitter-Friendly Conditions: Kauffman Stadium’s conditions today can help balls travel, providing a boost to the Royals’ hitters.
• Suggested Players:
  • Bobby Witt Jr. (SS)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino (1B)
  • Salvador Perez (1B/C)
  • MJ Melendez (OF)

Conclusion

Today’s DFS slate offers plenty of opportunities to stack powerful offenses against struggling pitchers. The Phillies, Cardinals, and Dodgers provide top stack options with high upside. For those looking to differentiate their lineups, the Marlins and Royals offer under-the-radar stacks that can deliver value. Use these insights to build a winning DFS lineup and maximize your potential for success. Good luck!