MLB Top Stacks 5/29/24 Early Slate

In today’s MLB DFS slate, we’ll identify the top offenses to stack against vulnerable pitchers. We’ll provide key insights, analyze matchups, and highlight statistics to justify each stack. Here’s a breakdown of the top three stacks and one under-the-radar stack for today’s games.

Top MLB DFS Stacks

1. St. Louis Cardinals vs. Frankie Montas (Cincinnati Reds)

Insights:

• Frankie Montas’ Struggles:
  • ERA: 5.8
  • High xwOBA against left-handed hitters (.373)
  • High ISO allowed to left-handed hitters (.180)
• Great American Ball Park:
  • Hitter-friendly park with good conditions for offense

Why Stack the Cardinals:

• Brendan Donovan (L):
  • xwOBA: .340
  • ISO: .156
  • Low strikeout rate (15%)
• Lars Nootbaar (L):
  • xwOBA: .394
  • ISO: .193
  • High walk rate (15.6%)
• Paul Goldschmidt (R):
  • xwOBA: .351
  • ISO: .179
  • High walk rate (11.8%)

Key Points:

• Montas struggles against lefties, and the Cardinals have several strong left-handed hitters.
• Great American Ball Park is favorable for hitters, increasing the potential for home runs and extra-base hits.

2. Texas Rangers vs. Ryne Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks)

Insights:

• Ryne Nelson’s Struggles:
  • ERA: 5.23
  • Low strikeout rate (13.8% vs. L, 17.8% vs. R)
  • High ISO allowed to left-handed hitters (.235)
• Globe Life Field:
  • Favorable conditions for hitters

Why Stack the Rangers:

• Marcus Semien (R):
  • xwOBA: .328
  • ISO: .204
  • Low strikeout rate (13.9%)
• Corey Seager (L):
  • xwOBA: .437
  • ISO: .300
  • High walk rate (12.9%)
• Adolis Garcia (R):
  • xwOBA: .355
  • ISO: .259
  • High strikeout rate, but significant power potential

Key Points:

• Nelson struggles against left-handed hitters, and the Rangers have powerful left-handed bats.
• The Rangers’ lineup has a good mix of contact and power hitters, making them a strong stack candidate.

3. Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kyle Harrison (San Francisco Giants)

Insights:

• Kyle Harrison’s Struggles:
  • High xwOBA against right-handed hitters (.335)
  • High ISO allowed to right-handed hitters (.182)
• Oracle Park:
  • Not the most hitter-friendly park, but favorable weather conditions today

Why Stack the Phillies:

• Kyle Schwarber (L):
  • xwOBA: .355
  • ISO: .220
  • High walk rate (16.3%)
• J.T. Realmuto (R):
  • xwOBA: .360
  • ISO: .250
  • Versatile hitter with power and speed
• Bryce Harper (L):
  • xwOBA: .364
  • ISO: .213
  • High walk rate (12.5%)

Key Points:

• Harrison struggles against right-handed power hitters, and the Phillies have a mix of right-handed and left-handed power.
• The Phillies’ lineup is deep, providing multiple stacking options.

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Under-the-Radar Stack

Cincinnati Reds vs. Andre Pallante (St. Louis Cardinals)

Insights:

• Andre Pallante’s Struggles:
  • Low strikeout rate (13.3% vs. L, 14.7% vs. R)
  • High xwOBA against right-handed hitters (.341)
  • Struggles with control (14.1% BB% vs. R)

Why Stack the Reds:

• Elly De La Cruz (S):
  • xwOBA: .342
  • ISO: .233
  • High strikeout rate, but significant power potential
• Spencer Steer (R):
  • xwOBA: .334
  • ISO: .174
  • High walk rate (11%)
• Jake Fraley (L):
  • xwOBA: .317
  • ISO: .168
  • Good balance of contact and power

Key Points:

• Pallante’s low strikeout rate and high walk rate make him vulnerable to a team that can take advantage of free passes and generate power.
• The Reds have a mix of power and speed in their lineup, providing upside for stacking.

Conclusion

Stacking the right teams can give you a significant edge in DFS. Today’s top stacks leverage matchups against struggling pitchers in hitter-friendly environments. Remember to monitor lineups and weather conditions before finalizing your DFS lineups.