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MLB Top Stacks 5/18/24 Main Slate
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In today’s MLB DFS slate, targeting offenses against poor pitching matchups is key to maximizing your lineup’s potential. Here are the top three DFS stacks for today, along with one under-the-radar stack to consider.
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Top 3 DFS Stacks
1. Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Graham Ashcraft (R) – Cincinnati Reds
Key Insights:
- Mookie Betts: .322 xHR, .241 ISO, .397 xwOBA
- Shohei Ohtani: .471 xHR, .381 ISO, .463 xwOBA
- Freddie Freeman: .217 ISO, .412 xwOBA
- Graham Ashcraft Stats: 16.7% K rate, 5.6% BB rate, .356 xwOBA against right-handed hitters
Explanation: The Dodgers lineup features elite hitters like Mookie Betts, Shohei Ohtani, and Freddie Freeman, who have consistently produced high power numbers and strong xwOBA. Facing Graham Ashcraft, who has struggled with both right-handed and left-handed hitters, the Dodgers are poised for a big offensive day. Ashcraft’s low strikeout rate and high xwOBA make this an ideal matchup for the Dodgers’ powerful lineup.
Key Points:
- Elite hitters with high power numbers.
- Ashcraft’s struggles against both righties and lefties.
- Dodgers’ overall offensive prowess.
2. Houston Astros vs. Bryse Wilson (R) – Milwaukee Brewers
Key Insights:
- Jose Altuve: .206 ISO, .339 xwOBA
- Kyle Tucker: .277 xHR, .232 ISO, .400 xwOBA
- Yordan Alvarez: .272 xHR, .286 ISO, .446 xwOBA
- Bryse Wilson Stats: 18.5% K rate, 9.2% BB rate, .280 xwOBA against right-handed hitters
Explanation: The Astros have a potent lineup led by Jose Altuve, Kyle Tucker, and Yordan Alvarez. Wilson’s high walk rate and moderate strikeout rate provide a favorable matchup for the Astros, who can capitalize on mistakes and generate significant offense. Alvarez’s and Tucker’s power numbers are particularly appealing against Wilson, who has allowed a high ISO to left-handed hitters.
Key Points:
- Astros’ strong hitters with high ISO and xwOBA.
- Wilson’s struggles with walks and strikeouts.
- Favorable matchup for left-handed power hitters.
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3. Boston Red Sox vs. Miles Mikolas (R) – St. Louis Cardinals
Key Insights:
- Jarren Duran: .202 ISO, .337 xwOBA
- Rafael Devers: .250 ISO, .401 xwOBA
- Tyler O’Neill: .201 ISO, .327 xwOBA
- Miles Mikolas Stats: 15.2% K rate, 4.3% BB rate, .344 xwOBA against left-handed hitters
Explanation: The Red Sox lineup is built to exploit Mikolas’s weaknesses against left-handed hitters. With Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers providing significant power, the Red Sox can take advantage of Mikolas’s low strikeout rate and high xwOBA against lefties. Devers, in particular, stands out as a top play with his elite ISO and xwOBA.
Key Points:
- Red Sox’s left-handed hitters against Mikolas.
- Mikolas’s struggles against lefties.
- Devers’ elite power and xwOBA.
Under-the-Radar Stack
Kansas City Royals vs. Ross Stripling (R) – Oakland Athletics
Key Insights:
- Bobby Witt Jr.: .217 ISO, .376 xwOBA
- Vinnie Pasquantino: .203 ISO, .361 xwOBA
- Salvador Perez: .190 ISO, .353 xwOBA
- Ross Stripling Stats: 12.3% K rate, 5.4% BB rate, .356 xwOBA against right-handed hitters
Explanation: The Royals provide an intriguing under-the-radar stack against Ross Stripling, who has struggled significantly against right-handed hitters. Bobby Witt Jr., Vinnie Pasquantino, and Salvador Perez all have solid power numbers and can exploit Stripling’s low strikeout rate and high xwOBA. This stack could offer significant value given the favorable matchup.
Key Points:
- Royals’ hitters with solid power numbers.
- Stripling’s struggles against righties.
- Potential value from an under-the-radar stack.
By targeting these top stacks against favorable pitching matchups, you can optimize your MLB DFS lineup and maximize your chances of success. Good luck with your lineups!
