MLB Top Pitchers 7/2/24

Hey DFS enthusiasts, it’s time to lock in your lineups for today’s MLB slate, and that starts with picking the right pitchers. Pitching is key to DFS success, and we’ve got some prime matchups to exploit. Here are the top MLB DFS pitchers for today, plus a few under-the-radar options that could give you an edge. Let’s dig into the stats and matchups to see why these pitchers should be in your lineups.

Top MLB DFS Pitchers

1. Carlos Carrasco (Cleveland Guardians)

Matchup: Guardians vs. White Sox

• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • Recent Form: Carrasco has been solid in three of his last five starts, including a strong outing against the Orioles, giving up just two earned runs over five innings.
  • Pitcher Matchup: The White Sox offense is struggling, ranked last in many major statistical categories including runs scored and slugging percentage. This makes Carrasco’s matchup even more favorable.
  • Key Stats: Carrasco has a 5.27 ERA, but his experience and ability to limit damage make him a reliable option against a weak-hitting team. Look for him to exploit Chicago’s offensive woes.

2. Tariq Skubal (Detroit Tigers)

Matchup: Tigers vs. Twins

• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • Ace Potential: Skubal has a 2.32 ERA and is coming off a fantastic bounce-back start against the Phillies, where he allowed no runs over seven innings.
  • Pitcher Matchup: The Twins have a decent offense, but Skubal has already shown he can handle strong lineups. He’s a Cy Young candidate for a reason.
  • Key Stats: With a WHIP of 1.05 and a strikeout rate of over 9 K/9 innings, Skubal is a high-upside play with the ability to dominate any lineup.

3. Ronaldo Lopez (Atlanta Braves)

Matchup: Braves vs. Giants

• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • Elite Performance: Lopez has been stellar with a 1.70 ERA and a track record of dominance this season. His ability to limit runs and pitch deep into games makes him a DFS gem.
  • Pitcher Matchup: The Giants’ offense has been inconsistent, and Lopez already has a win against them this season. He’s primed for another strong outing.
  • Key Stats: Lopez has held opponents to a .210 batting average and boasts a WHIP of 0.89. These elite numbers highlight his potential to rack up DFS points.

Under-the-Radar Plays

1. Simeon Woods Richardson (Minnesota Twins)

Matchup: Twins vs. Tigers

• Why He’s a Sleeper:
  • Recent Success: Woods Richardson has a 3.41 ERA and has been consistent in his starts, giving the Twins solid innings.
  • Pitcher Matchup: The Tigers’ offense ranks 21st in runs scored and 26th in batting average. This weak lineup is a great opportunity for Woods Richardson to shine.
  • Key Stats: With a strikeout rate of nearly 8 K/9 innings and solid control, Woods Richardson can provide good value, especially at a lower price point.

2. Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates)

Matchup: Pirates vs. Cardinals

• Why He’s a Sleeper:
  • Upside Potential: Keller has had his ups and downs but can be dominant. His 3.20 ERA shows he’s capable of strong performances.
  • Pitcher Matchup: The Cardinals’ offense has been struggling, ranked 27th in runs scored and 20th in slugging percentage. Keller has a favorable matchup here.
  • Key Stats: Keller’s ability to strike out batters (over 9 K/9 innings) and his solid WHIP of 1.15 make him a valuable DFS option with high upside.

Key Insights and Tips

• Injury Situations: Always check for last-minute updates on pitcher and team injuries as they can significantly impact performance and game strategy.
• Pitcher Matchups: Focus on pitchers facing struggling offenses or teams with high strikeout rates. These matchups often lead to high DFS point totals.
• Home vs. Away Performance: Some pitchers perform significantly better at home. Use these splits to your advantage when setting your lineups.

I hope these insights help you build a winning DFS lineup today. Let’s dominate the slate and cash in those contests! Let me know in the comments who your top picks are and any other sleepers you’re targeting. Good luck!