MLB Top Pitchers 6/12/24

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS top pitchers breakdown. We’re diving deep into the stats to identify the best pitching options for your DFS lineups. We’ll provide key insights and matchups to explain why these pitchers stand out, and we’ll also highlight a few under-the-radar plays that can provide great value. Let’s get into it.

Top DFS Pitchers

1. Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals)

• Matchup: Pirates @ Cardinals, 7:45pm ET
• Key Insights:
  • Dominant Metrics: Sonny Gray has a stellar 28.3% strikeout rate against right-handed batters and a 24.3% strikeout rate against lefties. His ability to generate swings and misses is a significant asset for DFS points.
  • Control and Ground Balls: Gray’s ground ball rate of 50.5% against lefties and 45.0% against righties indicates his ability to keep the ball on the ground and limit hard contact, reducing the risk of home runs.
  • Favorable Matchup: The Pirates struggle against right-handed pitchers, with several hitters having high strikeout rates. Gray’s ability to exploit these weaknesses makes him a top option.
• Suggested Lineup Position: Starting Pitcher

2. Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds)

• Matchup: Guardians @ Reds, 7:10pm ET
• Key Insights:
  • Strikeout Potential: Lodolo boasts a 29.2% strikeout rate against left-handed hitters and a 26.8% strikeout rate against righties. His ability to generate strikeouts is crucial for DFS scoring.
  • Consistency: Over his last six games, Lodolo has maintained a 25.2% strikeout rate and a 5.6% walk rate, demonstrating his consistency and control.
  • Pitching in a Hitter-Friendly Park: While Great American Ball Park is known for being hitter-friendly, Lodolo’s ground ball rate of over 40% for both lefties and righties helps mitigate the risk of long balls.
• Suggested Lineup Position: Starting Pitcher

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3. Tanner Bibee (Cleveland Guardians)

• Matchup: Guardians @ Reds, 7:10pm ET
• Key Insights:
  • Solid Metrics: Bibee has a 26.7% strikeout rate against right-handed batters and a 22.7% strikeout rate against lefties. His ability to strike out batters from both sides of the plate is impressive.
  • Limiting Damage: Bibee has kept his ISO below .200 against both lefties and righties, limiting the power potential of opposing hitters.
  • Recent Form: In his last six games, Bibee has a 26.8% strikeout rate and a 4.3% walk rate, showing excellent form and command.
• Suggested Lineup Position: Starting Pitcher

Under-the-Radar Plays

1. David Peterson (New York Mets)

• Matchup: Marlins @ Mets, 7:10pm ET
• Key Insights:
  • High Strikeout Upside: Peterson has a 28.6% strikeout rate against left-handed batters and a 23.2% strikeout rate against righties. His ability to rack up strikeouts makes him a valuable DFS option.
  • Struggles with Control: While Peterson has a higher walk rate (10.8% against righties), his strikeout potential can offset this, especially in a matchup against the Marlins, who have several high-strikeout hitters.
  • Recent Form: In his last six games, Peterson has a 25.9% strikeout rate and an 8.2% walk rate, showing he can be effective despite control issues.
• Suggested Lineup Position: Starting Pitcher

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2. Cristopher Sanchez (Philadelphia Phillies)

• Matchup: Phillies @ Red Sox, 7:10pm ET
• Key Insights:
  • Dominance Against Lefties: Sanchez has a remarkable 31.0% strikeout rate and a minuscule .051 ISO against left-handed batters, making him lethal against lineups with left-handed power.
  • Solid Against Righties: With a 21.1% strikeout rate and a .161 ISO against right-handed batters, Sanchez can handle mixed lineups effectively.
  • Recent Performance: Sanchez has been strong in his recent starts, maintaining a 20.1% strikeout rate and a 5.4% walk rate over his last six games.
• Suggested Lineup Position: Starting Pitcher

Conclusion

Today’s MLB DFS slate offers several top-tier pitching options with strong matchups. Sonny Gray, Nick Lodolo, and Tanner Bibee lead the way with their impressive strikeout rates and ability to limit damage. For those looking for under-the-radar plays, David Peterson and Cristopher Sanchez provide excellent upside at potentially lower ownership. Use these insights to build a winning DFS lineup and maximize your potential for success. Good luck!